The School of Odds
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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

Kickoff: 2026-09-10 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prediction 57.86%1.73fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -5.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%57.93%57.84%58.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.631.621.6763.69%61.47%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)

Prediction 42.14%2.37fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.591%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.10%42.07%42.16%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.232.242.3447.62%44.88%44.74%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 57.86%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 42.14%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.34, with an expected value of -1.38%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.38%E -2.02%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.07%E -1.33%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-09 16:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.38%E -2.02%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.07%E -1.33%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-09 16:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.38%E -2.02%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.07%E -1.33%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-09 16:05
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.38%E -2.02%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.49%E -1.52%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-09 16:10
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -3.96%E -2.38%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -1.38%E -0.591%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-09 16:00
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.96%E -2.38%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.44%E -2.90%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 17:35
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 16:05
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 16:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -6.44%E -2.90%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 16:04
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.69%E -3.49%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.91%E -1.72%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:00
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 16:00
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 16:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 16:00
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.27%E -3.87%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 16:05
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 17:34
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.85%E -4.26%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 16:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.14%EV -8.01%E -5.04%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86%EV -10.65%E -5.03%K -9.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 16:03
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.18%E -2.30%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 17:34
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -11.50%E -5.48%K -10.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 16:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -11.50%E -5.48%K -10.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 16:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.