Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

Kickoff: 2026-09-09 09:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prediction 59.97%1.67fair odd
EV +0.146%
Edge +0.087%
Kelly +0.217%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%59.67%60.15%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.581.6766.67%63.28%63.09%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)

Prediction 40.03%2.50fair odd
EV +0.081%
Edge +0.033%
Kelly +0.054%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%40.33%39.85%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.132.342.352.5046.95%42.83%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 59.97%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 40.03%. For Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.668. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.670, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.146%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +0.146%E +0.087%K +0.217%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -11.93%E -5.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 08:39
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -1.05%E -0.639%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -11.93%E -5.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 22:44
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -3.52%E -1.46%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-09 08:45
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -8.73%E -3.83%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 08:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -8.73%E -3.83%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 08:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -8.73%E -3.83%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 08:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -8.73%E -3.83%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 08:49
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -8.73%E -3.83%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 08:49
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -8.73%E -3.83%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 08:49
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -3.45%E -2.14%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -13.93%E -6.48%K -12.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-08 22:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -4.05%E -2.53%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -7.52%E -3.26%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 08:53
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.65%E -2.93%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.319%E -0.128%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-09 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.65%E -2.93%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.319%E -0.128%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-09 08:50
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.65%E -2.93%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.92%E -0.784%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 08:54
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.65%E -2.93%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.92%E -1.63%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 08:55
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.65%E -2.93%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.92%E -1.63%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-09 08:55
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.92%E -1.63%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 08:54
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.25%E -3.32%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.92%E -1.63%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 08:54
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -5.85%E -3.73%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -0.319%E -0.128%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 08:55
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.85%E -3.73%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.93%E -4.41%K -7.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 08:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.85%E -3.73%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.93%E -4.41%K -7.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.85%E -3.73%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.93%E -4.41%K -7.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 08:55
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -6.45%E -4.14%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -2.32%E -0.951%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.45%E -4.14%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.92%E -1.63%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 08:54
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.45%E -4.14%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.92%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 08:54
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.92%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 08:54
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.25%E -5.39%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.72%E -1.98%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 08:54
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.25%E -5.39%K -15.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.92%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 08:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.85%E -5.82%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.92%E -2.52%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.52%EV -9.45%E -6.26%K -18.53%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 41.48%EV -14.73%E -6.92%K -13.04%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 08:53
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.05%E -6.70%K -20.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.081%E +0.033%K +0.054%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 08:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -10.05%E -6.70%K -20.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.93%E -4.41%K -7.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 08:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.