The School of Odds
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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

2026-08-05 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prediction 55.90%1.79fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.70%55.88%55.84%57.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.701.7561.73%59.04%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)

Prediction 44.10%2.27fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.97%44.12%44.16%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.032.122.102.2049.26%47.11%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 55.90%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 44.10%. For Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.75, with an expected value of -2.17%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -2.17%E -1.24%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -10.48%E -5.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 17:29
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -2.73%E -1.57%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 22:40
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.87%E -1.77%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 13:54
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -8.28%E -3.98%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -8.28%E -3.98%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 17:15
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -8.28%E -3.98%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 17:14
PMU (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -8.28%E -3.98%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 17:14
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -8.28%E -3.98%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 17:14
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -3.29%E -1.90%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -8.28%E -3.98%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 17:14
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.98%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 13:54
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.98%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 14:34
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.98%E -1.36%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 14:39
William Hill1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 14:00
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.41%E -2.58%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 13:54
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.31%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 13:54
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 13:55
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.97%E -2.92%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 13:54
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.53%E -3.27%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.87%E -1.77%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 13:55
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.53%E -3.27%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 13:55
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.53%E -3.27%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:10
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.53%E -3.27%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 22:33
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.08%E -3.62%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 13:53
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.64%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 13:55
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.64%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 13:54
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.64%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 13:54
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.64%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 13:54
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.64%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 13:54
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.64%E -3.98%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.39%E -3.52%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 18:05
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -8.88%E -5.45%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%EV -9.16%E -4.45%K -8.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-04 13:55
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.19%E -2.41%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 15:13
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -9.60%E -4.68%K -9.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-04 21:05
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -9.44%E -5.83%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -9.60%E -4.68%K -9.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-04 21:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.