The School of Odds
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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

Kickoff: 2026-08-05 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prediction 54.23%1.84fair odd
EV -0.753%
Edge -0.412%
Kelly -0.907%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.60%54.30%54.09%57.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.731.721.8361.73%57.79%58.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)

Prediction 45.77%2.18fair odd
EV +4.35%
Edge +1.91%
Kelly +3.40%
Growth +0.148%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.13%45.70%45.91%48.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.062.082.2852.91%48.59%48.08%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 54.23%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 45.77%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -9.97%E -6.01%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +4.35%E +1.91%K +3.40%G +0.148%4.1%2026-08-05 08:10
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.26%E -4.25%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.60%E -0.745%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 08:40
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.35%E -4.94%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.60%E -0.745%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 08:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 08:45
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 08:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 08:45
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 08:45
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 08:44
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.35%E -4.94%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 00:35
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.43%E -5.65%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 08:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.43%E -5.65%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 08:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.43%E -5.65%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 08:35
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -12.14%E -7.50%K -19.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-05 08:50
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -2.92%E -1.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -4.35%E -2.08%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-05 08:40
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -0.753%E -0.412%K -0.907%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -5.26%E -2.54%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-05 08:55
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.72%E -2.78%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 08:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 08:30
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.43%E -5.65%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-05 00:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -4.55%E -2.58%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -7.09%E -3.49%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 08:50
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.30%E -0.712%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 08:55
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 08:45
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 08:54
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 08:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 08:45
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.01%E -2.26%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 08:39
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.63%E -3.24%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 08:45
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 08:45
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.26%E -4.25%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.47%E -4.23%K -8.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 08:40
BetUS🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -11.67%E -6.05%K -12.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 08:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.31%EV -8.35%E -4.94%K -12.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.69%EV -11.67%E -6.05%K -12.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-05 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.24%EV -9.97%E -6.01%K -15.11%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.76%EV -13.50%E -7.14%K -15.17%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-05 08:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.