Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Hanshin Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-06-09 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prediction 55.37%1.81fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -2.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%55.35%55.27%57.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.711.711.7762.11%58.43%58.48%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hanshin Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 44.63%2.24fair odd
EV +1.76%
Edge +0.773%
Kelly +1.38%
Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.13%44.65%44.73%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.102.102.2850.76%47.61%47.62%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 55.37%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 44.63%. For Hanshin Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.76%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -8.09%E -4.87%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV +1.76%E +0.773%K +1.38%G +0.024%4.1%2026-06-09 08:39
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.54%E -4.51%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.81%E -0.822%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 08:40
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%EV -2.00%E -1.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%EV -3.59%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-09 08:40
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.59%E -1.66%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 08:40
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.66%E -2.10%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.04%E -1.88%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-09 08:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.66%E -2.10%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.04%E -1.88%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-09 08:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.66%E -2.10%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.04%E -1.88%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-09 08:49
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.77%E -2.77%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.04%E -1.88%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 08:19
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.77%E -2.77%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.04%E -1.88%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-09 08:19
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.32%E -3.11%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.04%E -1.88%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 08:09
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.43%E -3.80%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.04%E -1.88%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-09 08:49
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -2.55%E -1.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -4.93%E -2.32%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-09 08:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -5.83%E -2.76%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-09 08:49
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.66%E -2.10%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.27%E -2.99%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-09 08:49
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.32%E -3.11%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.27%E -2.99%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-09 08:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.32%E -3.11%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.27%E -2.99%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-09 08:39
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.43%E -3.80%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.27%E -2.99%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-09 08:39
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.43%E -3.80%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.27%E -2.99%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-09 08:39
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.54%E -4.51%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.27%E -2.99%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-09 07:59
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.54%E -4.51%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.27%E -2.99%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-09 08:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.54%E -4.51%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.27%E -2.99%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-09 07:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.54%E -4.51%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.27%E -2.99%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-09 07:59
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.64%E -5.24%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.27%E -2.99%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-09 08:35
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.88%E -3.46%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.50%E -4.15%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-09 08:49
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.43%E -3.80%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.50%E -4.15%K -8.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-09 08:38
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.64%E -5.24%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.50%E -4.15%K -8.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-09 08:49
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -2.55%E -1.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -8.95%E -4.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 08:49
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -2.55%E -1.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -8.95%E -4.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 08:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -2.55%E -1.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -8.95%E -4.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 08:49
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -2.55%E -1.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -8.95%E -4.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-09 08:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -2.00%E -1.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -9.84%E -4.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 08:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -2.00%E -1.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -9.84%E -4.87%K -9.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-09 08:49
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.00%E -1.13%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.74%E -5.37%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-09 08:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.03%EV -10.86%E -6.74%K -17.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.97%EV -12.07%E -6.13%K -12.45%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-09 08:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.