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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)
Prediction 66.24%1.51fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -4.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.46%66.31%66.27%68.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.421.441.4873.53%70.41%69.69%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 33.76%2.96fair odd
EV +1.27%
Edge +0.423%
Kelly +0.634%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.19%33.69%33.73%35.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.802.803.0038.46%35.70%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 66.24%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 33.76%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.27%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.91%E -7.29%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.27%E +0.423%K +0.634%G +0.008% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 04:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.91%E -7.29%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.27%E +0.423%K +0.634%G +0.008% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 04:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.91%E -7.29%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.27%E +0.423%K +0.634%G +0.008% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 04:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.91%E -7.29%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.27%E +0.423%K +0.634%G +0.008% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 04:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.91%E -7.29%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.27%E +0.423%K +0.634%G +0.008% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 04:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.91%E -7.29%K -27.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.27%E +0.423%K +0.634%G +0.008% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 04:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -1.43%E -0.491%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-10 04:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -3.12%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-10 04:53 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.46%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 04:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.46%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 04:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.27%E -3.69%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.46%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 04:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-10 04:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.27%E -3.69%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 04:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -9.25%E -6.75%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -3.80%E -1.33%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 04:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -4.81%E -1.70%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 04:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 04:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 04:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.48%E -1.96%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 04:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -6.16%E -2.22%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 04:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.27%E -3.69%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 04:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 09:58 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.93%E -4.18%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 04:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 04:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 04:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.26%E -5.18%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.17%E -2.61%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 04:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.96%E -1.32%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 04:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 03:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.86%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 04:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -3.95%E -2.72%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -11.22%E -4.27%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 03:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 04:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 04:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 04:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.61%E -3.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.56%E -4.41%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 04:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.16%EV -7.92%E -5.70%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -12.23%E -4.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-10 04:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.