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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)
Prediction 62.22%1.61fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.676%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.90%62.18%62.36%64.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.501.5969.44%66.13%66.67%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 37.78%2.65fair odd
EV +0.126%
Edge +0.047%
Kelly +0.076%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.68%37.82%37.64%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.502.502.6544.44%40.05%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 62.22%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 37.78%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.647. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.650, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.126%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -8.54%E -5.81%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +0.126%E +0.047%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 03:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -8.54%E -5.81%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +0.126%E +0.047%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 03:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -8.54%E -5.81%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +0.126%E +0.047%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 03:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -8.54%E -5.81%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +0.126%E +0.047%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 03:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -8.54%E -5.81%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +0.126%E +0.047%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 03:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -8.54%E -5.81%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +0.126%E +0.047%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 03:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.76%E -0.678%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 04:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.94%E -1.89%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.90%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-13 04:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.94%E -1.89%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.90%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-13 04:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -10.41%E -7.23%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 04:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.43%E -3.57%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -4.03%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 04:11 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 04:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 04:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 04:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 04:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 04:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 04:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 04:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.54%E -5.81%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.54%E -2.22%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 04:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -1.08%E -0.676%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -5.92%E -2.38%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-13 04:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -2.32%E -1.48%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -5.92%E -2.38%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-13 04:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -5.43%E -3.57%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -5.92%E -2.38%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 04:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.56%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 04:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.56%E -2.30%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 04:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.05%E -4.01%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 04:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 04:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -1.70%E -1.07%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -8.56%E -3.54%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-13 04:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.19%E -2.72%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 04:02 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.67%E -4.45%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 04:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -8.54%E -5.81%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -11.21%E -4.77%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 04:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -1.08%E -0.676%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -13.10%E -5.70%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 04:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.13%EV -9.79%E -6.75%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -13.85%E -6.08%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-13 04:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -2.32%E -1.48%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -14.99%E -6.66%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-13 04:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.