默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Chiba Lotte Marines

开赛时间: 2026-05-09 05:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)

预测 66.18%1.51公平赔率
EV -2.71%
优势 -1.85%
Kelly -5.78%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.47

博彩公司预测分布
64.63%66.18%66.19%67.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.391.421.421.4771.94%70.28%70.42%68.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)

预测 33.82%2.96公平赔率
EV +1.46%
优势 +0.486%
Kelly +0.729%
增长率 +0.011%

假设最高赔率为 3.00

博彩公司预测分布
32.13%33.82%33.81%35.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.782.753.0038.46%35.98%36.36%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队):66.18%;Chiba Lotte Marines (客队):33.82%。 对于“Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.96。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.00,对应+1.46%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.02%E -4.24%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.46%E +0.486%K +0.729%G +0.011%3.8%2026-05-09 02:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.02%E -4.24%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.46%E +0.486%K +0.729%G +0.011%3.8%2026-05-09 02:29
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -4.04%E -2.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -1.59%E -0.545%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-09 04:29
William Hill🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.36%E -3.75%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.92%E -0.663%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 04:04
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.36%E -3.75%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.28%E -1.15%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 03:50
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.70%E -3.26%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.61%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 03:49
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.36%E -3.75%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.61%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 04:29
1xBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -2.71%E -1.85%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -4.97%E -1.77%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-09 04:49
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.04%E -2.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.31%E -1.89%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 16:34
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.04%E -2.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.31%E -1.89%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 16:34
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.04%E -2.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.31%E -1.89%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 04:54
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.70%E -3.26%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.31%E -1.89%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 04:29
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.36%E -3.75%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.31%E -1.89%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 22:54
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.02%E -4.24%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.31%E -1.89%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 03:32
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.36%E -3.75%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 03:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.69%E -4.74%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 15:49
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.69%E -4.74%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 15:49
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.69%E -4.74%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 15:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.69%E -4.74%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 15:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.69%E -4.74%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 15:50
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.69%E -4.74%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 15:49
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.35%E -5.25%K -18.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 03:44
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.35%E -5.25%K -18.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 04:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.35%E -5.25%K -18.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 04:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.35%E -5.25%K -18.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 04:29
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.35%E -5.25%K -18.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 20:30
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.35%E -5.25%K -18.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 22:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -6.02%E -4.24%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -8.01%E -2.95%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 03:53
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.70%E -3.26%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.69%E -3.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 15:04
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.36%E -3.75%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.69%E -3.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 03:44
ReBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.36%E -3.75%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.69%E -3.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 04:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.35%E -5.25%K -18.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.69%E -3.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 15:54
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.04%E -2.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.38%E -3.92%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 14:18
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.16%EV -8.01%E -5.76%K -20.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -12.07%E -4.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 04:49
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。