L’École des cotes

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Chiba Lotte Marines

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 05:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prévision 66.18%1.51cote équitable
EV -2.71%
Avantage -1.85%
Kelly -5.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.63%66.18%66.19%67.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.391.421.421.4771.94%70.28%70.42%68.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chiba Lotte Marines (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.82%2.96cote équitable
EV +1.46%
Avantage +0.486%
Kelly +0.729%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.13%33.82%33.81%35.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.782.753.0038.46%35.98%36.36%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.02%E -4.24%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.46%E +0.486%K +0.729%G +0.011%3.8%2026-05-09 02:29
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.02%E -4.24%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.46%E +0.486%K +0.729%G +0.011%3.8%2026-05-09 02:29
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -4.04%E -2.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV -1.59%E -0.545%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-09 04:29
William Hill1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.36%E -3.75%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.92%E -0.663%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 04:04
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.36%E -3.75%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.28%E -1.15%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 03:50
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.70%E -3.26%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.61%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 03:49
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.36%E -3.75%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.61%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 04:29
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -2.71%E -1.85%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -4.97%E -1.77%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-09 04:49
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.04%E -2.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.31%E -1.89%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 16:34
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.04%E -2.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.31%E -1.89%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 16:34
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.04%E -2.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.31%E -1.89%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 04:54
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.70%E -3.26%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.31%E -1.89%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 04:29
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.36%E -3.75%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.31%E -1.89%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 22:54
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.02%E -4.24%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.31%E -1.89%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 03:32
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.36%E -3.75%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 03:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.69%E -4.74%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 15:49
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.69%E -4.74%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 15:49
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.69%E -4.74%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 15:49
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.69%E -4.74%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 15:50
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.69%E -4.74%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 15:50
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.69%E -4.74%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 15:49
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.35%E -5.25%K -18.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 03:44
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.35%E -5.25%K -18.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 04:29
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.35%E -5.25%K -18.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 04:29
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.35%E -5.25%K -18.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 04:29
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.35%E -5.25%K -18.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 20:30
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.35%E -5.25%K -18.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.00%E -2.54%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 22:55
MyBookie.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -6.02%E -4.24%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -8.01%E -2.95%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 03:53
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.70%E -3.26%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.69%E -3.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 15:04
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.36%E -3.75%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.69%E -3.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 03:44
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.36%E -3.75%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.69%E -3.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 04:05
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.35%E -5.25%K -18.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.69%E -3.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 15:54
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.04%E -2.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.38%E -3.92%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 14:18
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.16%EV -8.01%E -5.76%K -20.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -12.07%E -4.64%K -7.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 04:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.