The School of Odds
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Chunichi Dragons v Yomiuri Giants

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chunichi Dragons (Local)

Prediction 55.19%1.81fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -4.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.70%55.06%55.19%56.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.711.7561.73%58.69%58.48%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yomiuri Giants (Visit)

Prediction 44.81%2.23fair odd
EV -0.516%
Edge -0.232%
Kelly -0.423%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.37%44.94%44.81%47.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.112.102.2251.28%47.48%47.62%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chunichi Dragons (Local): 55.19%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 44.81%. For Yomiuri Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.22, with an expected value of -0.516%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.42%E -1.96%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.31%E -1.06%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 04:34
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.42%E -1.96%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.65%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 04:54
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -3.42%E -1.96%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -9.03%E -4.45%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 04:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -3.42%E -1.96%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -12.62%E -6.47%K -13.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 04:49
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.97%E -2.28%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.65%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 04:39
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.97%E -2.28%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.13%E -3.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 04:04
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.97%E -2.28%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.13%E -3.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 12:30
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.53%E -2.62%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.00%E -2.36%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 04:54
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.53%E -2.62%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.13%E -3.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 04:38
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.08%E -2.95%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.65%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 04:39
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.08%E -2.95%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.65%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 04:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.08%E -2.95%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -6.34%E -3.03%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 04:38
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.63%E -3.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.65%E -1.70%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 04:54
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.63%E -3.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.10%E -1.92%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 04:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.63%E -3.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.89%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 04:39
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.63%E -3.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.89%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 00:15
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.63%E -3.29%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.13%E -3.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 04:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -6.18%E -3.64%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.516%E -0.232%K -0.423%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 04:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -6.18%E -3.64%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -0.516%E -0.232%K -0.423%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 04:49
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.18%E -3.64%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.13%E -3.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 00:14
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.73%E -3.98%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.89%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 04:24
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.73%E -3.98%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.13%E -3.97%K -7.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 04:39
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.29%E -4.34%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.20%E -1.48%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 04:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.29%E -4.34%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.20%E -1.48%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 04:39
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.29%E -4.34%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.20%E -1.48%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 04:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.29%E -4.34%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.20%E -1.48%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 04:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.29%E -4.34%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.20%E -1.48%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 04:39
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.29%E -4.34%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -3.20%E -1.48%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 04:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.84%E -4.69%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.89%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 04:54
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.84%E -4.69%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.89%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 04:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.84%E -4.69%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.89%E -2.81%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 04:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -8.94%E -5.42%K -13.76%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.33%EV -10.82%E -5.44%K -10.93%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 04:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.62%EV -10.60%E -6.54%K -17.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.38%EV -12.62%E -6.47%K -13.28%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-15 04:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.