Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chunichi Dragons v Yomiuri Giants

Kickoff: 2026-08-16 04:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chunichi Dragons (Local)

Prediction 51.80%1.93fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -2.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.78%51.90%53.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.821.821.8858.48%54.95%54.95%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yomiuri Giants (Visit)

Prediction 48.20%2.07fair odd
EV -0.224%
Edge -0.108%
Kelly -0.210%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.09%48.22%48.10%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.941.912.0754.35%51.55%52.36%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chunichi Dragons (Local): 51.80%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 48.20%. For Yomiuri Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.075. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.070, with an expected value of -0.224%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -2.62%E -1.39%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -8.42%E -4.43%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 04:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -2.62%E -1.39%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -8.90%E -4.71%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 04:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -2.62%E -1.39%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -8.90%E -4.71%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 04:19
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -2.62%E -1.39%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -8.90%E -4.71%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 04:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -2.62%E -1.39%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -8.90%E -4.71%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 04:19
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -2.62%E -1.39%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -8.90%E -4.71%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 04:19
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -3.65%E -1.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -2.15%E -1.06%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 04:15
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -4.17%E -2.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.12%E -1.55%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 04:19
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.17%E -2.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.53%E -2.82%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 04:24
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.17%E -2.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.94%E -4.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 23:34
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -4.17%E -2.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -8.90%E -4.71%K -10.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 04:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.17%E -2.25%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.83%E -5.85%K -12.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 03:19
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 04:19
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.56%E -2.30%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 04:20
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.94%E -4.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 15:02
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.21%E -2.85%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.94%E -4.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 23:25
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.73%E -3.15%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 04:20
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.73%E -3.15%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 04:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -6.24%E -3.45%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -5.53%E -2.82%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 04:24
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 04:19
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 04:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 04:19
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.01%E -3.08%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 04:19
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.94%E -4.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 12:54
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.94%E -4.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 13:33
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.94%E -4.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 14:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.94%E -4.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.76%E -3.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.94%E -4.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 14:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -7.28%E -4.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -0.224%E -0.108%K -0.210%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 04:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -7.28%E -4.07%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -0.224%E -0.108%K -0.210%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 04:25
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.32%E -4.70%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 04:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%EV -9.87%E -5.67%K -13.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.20%EV -9.86%E -5.28%K -11.34%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 04:19
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -11.42%E -6.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -3.60%E -1.80%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 04:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.83%EV -11.42%E -6.68%K -16.09%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.17%EV -11.31%E -6.15%K -13.46%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 04:18
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.