The School of Odds
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Chunichi Dragons v Yomiuri Giants

Kickoff: 2026-04-01 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chunichi Dragons (Local)

Prediction 54.14%1.85fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.810%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.47%53.82%54.23%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.751.741.8259.52%57.05%57.47%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yomiuri Giants (Visit)

Prediction 45.86%2.18fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.647%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%46.18%45.77%48.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.032.052.1552.36%49.15%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chunichi Dragons (Local): 54.14%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 45.86%. For Yomiuri Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -1.39%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -1.47%E -0.810%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -11.02%E -5.68%K -11.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 08:30
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -1.47%E -0.810%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -11.48%E -5.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 08:29
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -1.47%E -0.810%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -11.48%E -5.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 08:30
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.35%E -3.64%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 08:44
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.56%E -5.42%K -11.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 08:40
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.40%E -6.49%K -13.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-01 08:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.40%E -6.49%K -13.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-01 08:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.56%E -1.42%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.40%E -6.49%K -13.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-01 08:30
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -4.18%E -2.36%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -2.77%E -1.31%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-01 08:45
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.18%E -2.36%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-01 08:35
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.77%E -1.31%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 08:55
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.23%E -1.53%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 08:50
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 08:34
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 08:34
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.26%E -3.01%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.68%E -1.75%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 08:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.80%E -3.34%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.39%E -0.647%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 08:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.80%E -3.34%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.39%E -0.647%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 08:30
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.80%E -3.34%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.85%E -0.864%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 08:55
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.80%E -3.34%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 08:49
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.80%E -3.34%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 08:35
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.80%E -3.34%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 08:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.80%E -3.34%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 08:37
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.80%E -3.34%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 08:54
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.80%E -3.34%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 08:39
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 08:44
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.35%E -3.67%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 08:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -6.89%E -4.00%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -6.44%E -3.15%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 08:45
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.43%E -4.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 08:45
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.43%E -4.34%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 08:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.97%E -4.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.98%E -2.92%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 08:34
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.97%E -4.69%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.27%E -4.14%K -8.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-01 08:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -9.05%E -5.39%K -13.31%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -9.19%E -4.64%K -9.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-01 08:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.