Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.07
assuming max odds 1.88
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chunichi Dragons (Local): 48.31%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 51.69%. For Chunichi Dragons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06999. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.07000, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.001%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -5.41%E -2.95%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 04:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.41%E -1.20%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.92%E -3.25%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-04 04:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.41%E -1.20%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.92%E -3.25%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-04 04:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.38%E -1.69%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.96%E -3.87%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 04:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.38%E -1.69%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.51%E -4.81%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 04:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -3.38%E -1.69%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -11.61%E -6.79%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 04:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -3.86%E -1.94%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.37%E -2.36%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 02:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -4.35%E -2.20%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -2.82%E -1.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-04 04:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.35%E -2.20%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.41%E -2.95%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 04:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -4.83%E -2.45%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.44%E -3.56%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 04:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.31%E -2.71%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.37%E -2.36%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 04:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.37%E -2.36%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 01:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.37%E -2.36%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 01:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.96%E -3.87%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 04:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.96%E -3.87%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 04:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.96%E -3.87%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 04:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.96%E -3.87%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 04:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.76%E -3.50%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.37%E -2.36%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 04:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.76%E -3.50%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.37%E -2.36%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 04:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.76%E -3.50%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.37%E -2.36%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 04:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.76%E -3.50%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.37%E -2.36%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 04:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.76%E -3.50%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.37%E -2.36%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 04:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.76%E -3.50%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.37%E -2.36%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 04:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -6.76%E -3.50%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -5.92%E -3.25%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 04:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.34%E -1.79%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-03 19:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.96%E -3.87%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 01:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.96%E -3.87%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 01:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.96%E -3.87%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 01:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.96%E -3.87%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 01:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.96%E -3.87%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 04:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.21%E -4.32%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.96%E -3.87%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 01:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -8.69%E -4.60%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%EV -9.54%E -5.45%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-04 04:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.66%E -5.17%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.79%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-03 15:58 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.63%E -5.74%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.36%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 01:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -10.63%E -5.74%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -5.41%E -2.95%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-03 19:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.17%EV -11.11%E -6.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.83%EV -11.61%E -6.79%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-04 04:33 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.