The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Chunichi Dragons v Yomiuri Giants

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chunichi Dragons (Local)

Prediction 54.30%1.84fair odd
EV +0.463%
Edge +0.250%
Kelly +0.544%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.80%54.14%54.09%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.751.741.8559.88%57.16%57.47%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yomiuri Giants (Visit)

Prediction 45.70%2.19fair odd
EV +0.988%
Edge +0.447%
Kelly +0.816%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%45.86%45.91%49.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.052.052.2152.36%48.87%48.78%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chunichi Dragons (Local): 54.30%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 45.70%. For Yomiuri Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.21, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.988%.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -5.51%E -3.17%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV +0.988%E +0.447%K +0.816%G +0.008%2.7%2026-04-02 08:55
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.51%E -3.17%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.75%E -0.816%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-02 08:40
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.75%E -0.816%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 08:54
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.75%E -0.816%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-02 08:55
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.31%E -5.58%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.75%E -0.816%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 08:54
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.51%E -3.17%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 08:35
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -4.42%E -2.51%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -2.67%E -1.25%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-02 08:30
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.60%E -3.84%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.12%E -1.47%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 08:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.14%E -4.18%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.04%E -1.92%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-02 08:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.34%E -1.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.50%E -2.15%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-02 08:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.34%E -1.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.50%E -2.15%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-02 08:50
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.51%E -3.17%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.87%E -2.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 08:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.14%E -4.18%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -5.87%E -2.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 08:39
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.34%E -1.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 08:40
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.51%E -3.17%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 08:30
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.51%E -3.17%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 08:33
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.05%E -3.50%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 08:30
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.14%E -4.18%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 08:29
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -8.23%E -4.87%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.32%E -3.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 08:39
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.88%E -2.19%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.61%E -4.30%K -8.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 08:34
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.05%E -3.50%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.61%E -4.30%K -8.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 08:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.05%E -3.50%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.61%E -4.30%K -8.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 08:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.05%E -3.50%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.61%E -4.30%K -8.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 08:35
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.05%E -3.50%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.61%E -4.30%K -8.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 08:29
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.68%E -4.52%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.61%E -4.30%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-02 08:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -9.31%E -5.58%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -8.61%E -4.30%K -8.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-02 08:50
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV +0.463%E +0.250%K +0.544%G +0.003%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -9.07%E -4.56%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 08:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -4.97%E -2.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.89%E -5.59%K -11.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 08:29
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV +0.463%E +0.250%K +0.544%G +0.003%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -12.72%E -6.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 08:30
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV +0.463%E +0.250%K +0.544%G +0.003%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -12.72%E -6.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 08:30
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV +0.463%E +0.250%K +0.544%G +0.003%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -12.72%E -6.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 08:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV +0.463%E +0.250%K +0.544%G +0.003%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -12.72%E -6.66%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 08:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.