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Chunichi Dragons v Yomiuri Giants
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chunichi Dragons (Local)
Prediction 51.52%1.94fair odd
EV -0.561%
Edge -0.290%
Kelly -0.603%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.94%51.62%51.52%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.831.801.9358.14%54.72%55.56%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yomiuri Giants (Visit)
Prediction 48.48%2.06fair odd
EV +2.77%
Edge +1.31%
Kelly +2.47%
Growth +0.069%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%48.38%48.48%51.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.941.912.1254.64%51.67%52.36%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chunichi Dragons (Local): 51.52%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 48.48%. For Yomiuri Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.77%.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -7.77%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV +2.77%E +1.31%K +2.47%G +0.069% | 3.0% | 2026-07-05 04:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.80%E -4.97%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +1.80%E +0.858%K +1.64%G +0.030% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 04:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.80%E -4.97%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +1.80%E +0.858%K +1.64%G +0.030% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 04:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV +0.832%E +0.400%K +0.771%G +0.006% | 3.6% | 2026-07-05 04:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.80%E -4.97%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -0.622%E -0.303%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 04:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -10.35%E -5.95%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -0.622%E -0.303%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 04:08 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.02%E -2.03%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 04:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.02%E -2.03%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 04:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.99%E -2.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 04:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -7.77%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -4.99%E -2.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 04:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.47%E -2.81%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 04:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.47%E -2.81%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 04:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.47%E -2.81%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 04:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.47%E -2.81%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 04:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.47%E -2.81%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 04:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.83%E -5.62%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.47%E -2.81%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-05 04:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.83%E -5.62%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.47%E -2.81%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-05 04:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.59%E -0.833%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 14:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.59%E -0.833%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.65%E -1.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 20:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 04:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 04:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 04:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 04:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 04:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -9.32%E -5.30%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -8.86%E -4.71%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-05 04:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.65%E -1.95%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.35%E -5.00%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.561%E -0.290%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.32%E -5.58%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 04:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.561%E -0.290%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.32%E -5.58%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 04:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.561%E -0.290%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.32%E -5.58%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 04:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.561%E -0.290%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.32%E -5.58%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 04:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.561%E -0.290%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.32%E -5.58%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 04:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -0.561%E -0.290%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.32%E -5.58%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 04:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -10.32%E -5.58%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 20:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -11.29%E -6.17%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-05 04:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.55%EV -11.38%E -6.62%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.45%EV -11.29%E -6.17%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-05 04:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.