The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Chunichi Dragons v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

Kickoff: 2026-08-11 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chunichi Dragons (Local)

Prediction 50.40%1.98fair odd
EV -0.710%
Edge -0.360%
Kelly -0.732%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.65%50.69%50.00%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.851.851.9757.47%54.06%54.05%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)

Prediction 49.60%2.02fair odd
EV +1.68%
Edge +0.818%
Kelly +1.60%
Growth +0.027%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%49.31%50.00%51.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.911.912.0556.18%52.35%52.36%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chunichi Dragons (Local): 50.40%; Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit): 49.60%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.02. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.68%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -12.30%E -7.07%K -16.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +1.68%E +0.818%K +1.60%G +0.027%6.3%2026-08-10 09:45
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.77%E -4.24%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.802%E -0.401%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 04:55
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -8.77%E -4.85%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -1.79%E -0.906%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 04:50
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -9.28%E -5.15%K -11.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -1.79%E -0.906%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 23:15
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -8.77%E -4.85%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -2.29%E -1.16%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 04:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -8.77%E -4.85%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -2.29%E -1.16%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 04:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -8.77%E -4.85%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -2.29%E -1.16%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 04:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -8.77%E -4.85%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -2.29%E -1.16%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 04:50
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -8.77%E -4.85%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -2.29%E -1.16%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 04:49
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.76%E -3.65%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.79%E -1.42%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 04:49
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -11.80%E -6.74%K -15.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -3.28%E -1.68%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-10 23:15
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.73%E -1.41%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.27%E -2.21%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-11 04:35
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%EV -0.710%E -0.360%K -0.732%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -4.77%E -2.48%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-11 04:50
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.73%E -1.95%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.76%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 04:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.73%E -1.95%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.76%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 04:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.73%E -1.95%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.76%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 04:35
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.75%E -3.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.27%E -2.76%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 04:54
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.28%E -5.15%K -11.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.27%E -2.76%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-11 04:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.28%E -5.15%K -11.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.27%E -2.76%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-11 04:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.28%E -5.15%K -11.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.27%E -2.76%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-11 04:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.25%E -2.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -6.26%E -3.31%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 04:44
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.23%E -1.68%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.75%E -3.59%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 04:34
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.23%E -1.68%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.75%E -3.59%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 04:35
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.73%E -1.95%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.25%E -3.88%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 04:55
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.25%E -3.88%K -8.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 04:40
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.25%E -3.88%K -8.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 04:40
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.25%E -3.88%K -8.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 04:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.07%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.25%E -3.88%K -8.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 04:40
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.73%E -1.95%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.23%E -5.05%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 04:35
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.77%E -4.24%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.23%E -5.05%K -11.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-11 04:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.28%E -5.15%K -11.60%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.86%EV -10.23%E -5.65%K -12.62%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-11 04:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.24%E -2.23%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.72%E -5.96%K -13.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-11 04:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.28%EV -11.29%E -6.42%K -14.86%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.72%EV -11.71%E -6.58%K -15.02%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-11 04:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.