默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

开赛时间: 2026-08-21 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons (主队)

预测 61.28%1.63公平赔率
EV -2.57%
优势 -1.61%
Kelly -4.35%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.59

博彩公司预测分布
59.13%61.33%61.04%63.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.451.531.531.5968.97%65.15%65.36%62.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)

预测 38.72%2.58公平赔率
EV +2.61%
优势 +0.986%
Kelly +1.58%
增长率 +0.041%

假设最高赔率为 2.65

博彩公司预测分布
36.14%38.67%38.96%40.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.272.442.432.6544.05%41.01%41.15%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Chunichi Dragons (主队):61.28%;Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队):38.72%。 对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.58。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.65,对应+2.61%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -6.24%E -4.08%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +2.61%E +0.986%K +1.58%G +0.041%3.1%2026-08-21 08:54
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -8.08%E -5.39%K -16.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +2.61%E +0.986%K +1.58%G +0.041%4.4%2026-08-21 08:54
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -5.63%E -3.66%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +1.06%E +0.408%K +0.661%G +0.007%3.2%2026-08-21 08:45
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -5.02%E -3.24%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -1.65%E -0.648%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-21 08:44
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -6.86%E -4.51%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -1.65%E -0.648%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 08:40
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.24%E -4.08%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.20%E -1.28%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 08:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.92%E -6.75%K -21.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.20%E -1.28%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 08:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -2.57%E -1.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -3.58%E -1.44%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-21 08:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.86%E -4.51%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -3.97%E -1.60%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 08:44
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.79%E -2.42%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.13%E -2.09%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 08:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.24%E -4.08%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.13%E -2.09%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 08:34
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.47%E -4.95%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.13%E -2.09%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 08:40
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.08%E -5.39%K -16.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.13%E -2.09%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-21 08:40
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.02%E -3.24%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.91%E -2.43%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.02%E -3.24%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.91%E -2.43%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.02%E -3.24%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.91%E -2.43%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.02%E -3.24%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.91%E -2.43%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 08:55
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.02%E -3.24%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.91%E -2.43%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 08:54
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.02%E -3.24%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.91%E -2.43%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 08:54
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.18%E -2.01%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.07%E -2.94%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 08:54
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.18%E -2.01%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.07%E -2.94%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 08:35
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.18%E -2.01%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.07%E -2.94%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 08:54
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.63%E -3.66%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.07%E -2.94%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-20 21:14
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.08%E -5.39%K -16.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.07%E -2.94%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 08:34
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.70%E -5.84%K -17.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.07%E -2.94%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 08:49
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.24%E -4.08%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.84%E -3.30%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-21 08:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.24%E -4.08%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.84%E -3.30%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-21 08:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.24%E -4.08%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.84%E -3.30%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-21 08:34
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.24%E -4.08%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.23%E -3.47%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 21:13
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -9.92%E -6.75%K -21.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -9.00%E -3.83%K -6.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-21 08:50
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.57%E -1.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.94%E -4.76%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 12:59
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.57%E -1.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.94%E -4.76%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 07:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.02%EV -11.15%E -7.69%K -24.77%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.98%EV -12.10%E -5.33%K -9.53%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-21 08:43
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。