默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

开赛时间： 2026-08-22 05:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

62%

38%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons (主队)

预测 62.08%1.61公平赔率

EV -1.29%

优势 -0.813%

Kelly -2.19%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.59

博彩公司预测分布

60.50%62.12%62.13%63.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.461.521.501.5968.49%65.93%66.45%62.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)

预测 37.92%2.64公平赔率

EV +1.63%

优势 +0.607%

Kelly +0.968%

增长率 +0.016%

假设最高赔率为 2.68

博彩公司预测分布

36.19%37.88%37.87%39.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.262.492.502.6844.25%40.16%40.00%37.31%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chunichi Dragons (主队)：62.08%；Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)：37.92%。对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.64。当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.68，对应+1.63%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%	2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV +1.63%E +0.607%K +0.968%G +0.016%	3.1%	2026-08-22 04:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%	2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV +1.63%E +0.607%K +0.968%G +0.016%	3.1%	2026-08-22 04:55
Fanatics🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.16%E -2.02%K -5.64%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-22 03:55
BetMGM🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-22 00:44
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.50%E -5.03%K -15.31%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-22 04:04
BetRivers🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.50%E -5.03%K -15.31%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-22 04:04
Unibet🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.50%E -5.03%K -15.31%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-22 04:04
PMU (FR)🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.50%E -5.03%K -15.31%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-22 04:04
Bally Bet🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.50%E -5.03%K -15.31%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-22 04:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.50%E -5.03%K -15.31%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.30%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-22 04:04
FanDuel🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.44%E -1.76%K -2.92%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-22 04:05
Coolbet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.44%E -1.76%K -2.92%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-22 04:29
Pinnacle🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.30%G +0.000%	2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -4.82%E -1.92%K -3.19%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-22 04:05
DraftKings🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.16%E -2.02%K -5.64%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-22 04:35
BoyleSports🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-22 03:59
888sport🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-21 15:25
Caesars🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-21 15:23
888sport (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-21 15:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-21 15:24
Coral🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.12%E -5.49%K -16.92%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-22 00:49
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.74%E -5.95%K -18.60%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-22 04:00
1xBet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -1.29%E -0.813%K -2.19%G +0.000%	2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -6.72%E -2.73%K -4.60%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-08-22 04:09
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%	2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.72%E -2.73%K -4.60%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-22 04:04
NordicBet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.87%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-22 04:50
Betsson🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.87%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-22 04:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-22 03:59
ReBet🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.26%E -4.15%K -12.27%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-22 04:05
Fliff🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.89%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-22 04:00
BetUS🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -1.91%E -1.21%K -3.30%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -8.23%E -3.40%K -5.80%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-22 04:40
Bovada🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.40%E -2.86%K -8.14%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-22 03:57
theScore Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.47%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-22 04:00
Betway🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.88%E -4.59%K -13.76%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-22 03:55
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -8.12%E -5.49%K -16.92%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -12.78%E -5.56%K -9.83%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-08-22 04:49
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 60.75%EV -9.36%E -6.41%K -20.36%G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25%NM 39.25%EV -14.30%E -6.33%K -11.35%G +0.000%	12.7%	2026-08-22 04:35

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。