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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Chunichi Dragons v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

开赛时间： 2026-05-15 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons (主队)

预测 54.24%1.84公平赔率
EV -2.37%
优势 -1.32%
Kelly -2.97%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
52.70%54.35%54.09%56.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.661.731.731.8060.24%57.93%57.80%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)

预测 45.76%2.19公平赔率
EV +1.13%
优势 +0.513%
Kelly +0.938%
增长率 +0.011%

假设最高赔率为 2.21

博彩公司预测分布
43.72%45.65%45.91%47.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.902.062.072.2152.63%48.49%48.31%45.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chunichi Dragons (主队)：54.24%；Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)：45.76%。 对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.19。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.21，对应+1.13%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV +1.13%E +0.513%K +0.938%G +0.011%3.1%2026-05-15 08:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.25%E -4.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.677%E +0.308%K +0.564%G +0.004%3.9%2026-05-15 08:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.25%E -4.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.677%E +0.308%K +0.564%G +0.004%3.9%2026-05-15 08:45
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -5.08%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.61%E -0.749%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 08:35
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.25%E -4.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.61%E -0.749%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 08:35
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.42%E -5.64%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.61%E -0.749%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 08:35
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 08:34
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 08:40
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 08:54
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.25%E -4.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 22:44
William Hill🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.46%E -1.94%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 07:09
BetUS🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -5.27%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 08:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.27%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 08:54
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.27%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.27%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 08:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.27%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 08:54
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.27%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 08:54
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.27%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 08:55
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.73%E -2.78%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 08:35
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 06:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 08:30
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 16:00
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.64%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 08:39
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 06:14
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 08:34
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 06:14
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 15:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 15:46
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 15:44
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.25%E -4.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 08:54
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.25%E -4.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 08:30
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 08:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.08%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.76%E -5.52%K -11.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 08:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.37%EV -9.97%E -6.00%K -15.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.63%EV -13.05%E -6.87%K -14.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-15 08:40
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。