La scuola delle quote

Chunichi Dragons v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

Inizio: 2026-05-15 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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35 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chunichi Dragons (Casa)

Previsione 54.24%1.84quota equa
EV -2.37%
Vantaggio -1.32%
Kelly -2.97%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.70%54.35%54.09%56.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.731.731.8060.24%57.93%57.80%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.76%2.19quota equa
EV +1.13%
Vantaggio +0.513%
Kelly +0.938%
Crescita +0.011%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.21

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.72%45.65%45.91%47.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.902.062.072.2152.63%48.49%48.31%45.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV +1.13%E +0.513%K +0.938%G +0.011%3.1%2026-05-15 08:50
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.25%E -4.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.677%E +0.308%K +0.564%G +0.004%3.9%2026-05-15 08:45
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.25%E -4.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.677%E +0.308%K +0.564%G +0.004%3.9%2026-05-15 08:45
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -5.08%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.61%E -0.749%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 08:35
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.25%E -4.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.61%E -0.749%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 08:35
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.42%E -5.64%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.61%E -0.749%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 08:35
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 08:34
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 08:40
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 08:54
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.25%E -4.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-14 22:44
William Hill1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.46%E -1.94%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.81%E -2.31%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 07:09
BetUS1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -5.27%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 08:39
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.27%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 08:54
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.27%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.27%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 08:54
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.27%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 08:54
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.27%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 08:54
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.27%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 08:55
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.73%E -2.78%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 08:35
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 06:45
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 08:30
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 16:00
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 22:40
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.64%E -3.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 08:39
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.00%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 06:14
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.63%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 08:34
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 06:14
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 15:44
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 15:46
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.17%E -3.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 15:44
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.25%E -4.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 08:54
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.25%E -4.24%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 08:30
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.80%E -4.59%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-15 08:49
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.08%E -2.91%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.76%E -5.52%K -11.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 08:19
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.37%EV -9.97%E -6.00%K -15.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.63%EV -13.05%E -6.87%K -14.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-15 08:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.