Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chunichi Dragons v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

2026-08-05 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chunichi Dragons (Local)

Prediction 54.17%1.85fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -3.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%54.16%54.10%54.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.741.751.8059.88%57.39%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)

Prediction 45.83%2.18fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.22%45.84%45.90%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.052.052.1251.28%48.77%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chunichi Dragons (Local): 54.17%; Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit): 45.83%. For Chunichi Dragons (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.80, with an expected value of -2.50%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.50%E -1.39%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -3.29%E -1.56%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 14:50
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.50%E -1.39%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.62%E -5.45%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 14:39
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -3.04%E -1.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -4.21%E -2.01%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 14:40
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.33%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.75%E -1.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 13:54
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.33%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.75%E -1.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 14:30
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.13%E -2.33%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.75%E -1.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 14:39
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.13%E -2.33%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.04%E -2.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 14:10
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.21%E -2.98%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.83%E -1.34%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 14:00
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.21%E -2.98%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.75%E -1.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 13:54
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.21%E -2.98%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.75%E -1.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 13:55
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.21%E -2.98%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.75%E -1.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 13:55
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.21%E -2.98%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.75%E -1.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 13:54
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.21%E -2.98%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.04%E -2.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.21%E -2.98%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.04%E -2.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 17:15
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.21%E -2.98%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.04%E -2.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 17:14
PMU (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.21%E -2.98%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.04%E -2.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 17:14
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.21%E -2.98%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.04%E -2.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 17:14
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.21%E -2.98%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.04%E -2.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 17:14
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.75%E -3.31%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.58%E -2.71%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 13:53
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.75%E -3.31%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.04%E -2.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 13:55
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.75%E -3.31%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.04%E -2.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 13:54
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.75%E -3.31%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.04%E -2.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 13:55
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.75%E -3.31%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.04%E -2.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 14:42
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.29%E -3.64%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.04%E -2.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 13:54
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.29%E -3.64%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.33%E -4.17%K -8.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 13:54
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.29%E -3.64%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.33%E -4.17%K -8.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 13:54
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.29%E -3.64%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.33%E -4.17%K -8.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 13:54
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.38%E -4.31%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.04%E -2.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 17:24
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.38%E -4.31%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.33%E -4.17%K -8.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 18:05
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.92%E -4.66%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.04%E -2.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 15:10
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -8.46%E -5.01%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -8.33%E -4.17%K -8.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-04 21:05
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -9.00%E -5.36%K -13.24%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -9.25%E -4.67%K -9.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-04 13:55
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.99%EV -9.54%E -5.71%K -14.24%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.01%EV -10.17%E -5.19%K -10.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-04 21:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.