默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

开赛时间： 2026-05-17 04:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

56%

44%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons (主队)

预测 55.78%1.79公平赔率

EV -2.39%

优势 -1.37%

Kelly -3.19%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.75

博彩公司预测分布

54.09%55.75%55.92%57.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.631.691.691.7561.35%59.18%59.17%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)

预测 44.22%2.26公平赔率

EV +1.71%

优势 +0.745%

Kelly +1.32%

增长率 +0.023%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布

42.07%44.25%44.08%45.91%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.932.132.142.3051.81%47.00%46.73%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chunichi Dragons (主队)：55.78%；Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)：44.22%。对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.26。当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.30，对应+1.71%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +1.71%E +0.745%K +1.32%G +0.023%	3.4%	2026-05-17 04:15
LowVig.ag🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +1.71%E +0.745%K +1.32%G +0.023%	3.4%	2026-05-17 04:15
Pinnacle🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -0.497%E -0.221%K -0.398%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-05-17 04:20
1xBet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%	2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.87%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-05-17 04:19
Fanatics🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-05-17 04:10
DraftKings🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.74%E -3.40%K -8.32%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.71%E -1.23%K -2.26%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-17 04:25
Coolbet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.03%E -1.86%K -3.45%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-05-17 04:15
Betsson🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-17 04:15
NordicBet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-17 04:15
Caesars🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.74%E -3.40%K -8.32%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-16 18:36
Bovada🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.92%E -2.29%K -4.28%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-17 04:15
BetRivers🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.23%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -5.36%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-17 03:35
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.23%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -5.36%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-17 03:30
PMU (FR)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.23%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -5.36%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-17 03:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.23%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -5.36%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-17 03:35
Unibet🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.23%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -5.36%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-17 03:35
Bally Bet🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -7.41%E -4.46%K -11.23%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -5.36%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-17 03:30
William Hill🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.39%E -1.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.25%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-17 03:45
FanDuel🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.06%E -2.36%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.25%E -2.95%K -5.58%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-17 03:40
BetUS🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%	2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -6.69%E -3.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-17 04:20
Fliff🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.13%E -3.40%K -6.48%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-17 04:10
888sport🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.13%E -3.40%K -6.48%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-16 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.13%E -3.40%K -6.48%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-16 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.85%E -4.10%K -10.23%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.13%E -3.40%K -6.48%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-16 18:40
Everygame🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.97%E -4.83%K -12.26%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.13%E -3.40%K -6.48%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-05-17 04:15
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -8.46%E -4.09%K -7.90%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-17 03:44
theScore Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.95%E -1.69%K -3.99%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.34%E -4.56%K -8.90%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-17 03:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.95%E -1.69%K -3.99%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.34%E -4.56%K -8.90%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-17 03:40
BoyleSports🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.51%E -2.03%K -4.80%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.34%E -4.56%K -8.90%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-05-17 03:40
ReBet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.62%E -2.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.34%E -4.56%K -8.90%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-05-17 03:40
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.18%E -3.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.34%E -4.56%K -8.90%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-17 03:40
Betway🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -5.74%E -3.40%K -8.32%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -9.34%E -4.56%K -8.90%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-17 03:40
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 54.21%EV -9.08%E -5.57%K -14.42%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 45.79%EV -14.65%E -7.59%K -15.75%G +0.000%	13.2%	2026-05-17 04:05

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。