默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

开赛时间： 2026-08-23 04:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

59%

41%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons (主队)

预测 59.32%1.69公平赔率

EV -0.343%

优势 -0.204%

Kelly -0.504%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.68

博彩公司预测分布

56.36%59.24%59.43%60.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.511.601.601.6866.23%62.45%62.50%59.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)

预测 40.68%2.46公平赔率

EV -0.333%

优势 -0.136%

Kelly -0.230%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.45

博彩公司预测分布

39.05%40.76%40.57%43.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.132.282.302.4546.95%43.78%43.48%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chunichi Dragons (主队)：59.32%；Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)：40.68%。对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.46。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.45，期望值为-0.333%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -0.343%E -0.204%K -0.504%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -11.72%E -5.40%K -10.02%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-23 04:20
PMU (FR)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -0.343%E -0.204%K -0.504%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -11.72%E -5.40%K -10.02%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-23 04:20
Unibet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -0.343%E -0.204%K -0.504%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -11.72%E -5.40%K -10.02%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-23 04:19
BetRivers🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -0.343%E -0.204%K -0.504%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -11.72%E -5.40%K -10.02%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-23 04:19
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -0.343%E -0.204%K -0.504%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -11.72%E -5.40%K -10.02%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-23 04:19
Bally Bet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -0.343%E -0.204%K -0.504%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -11.72%E -5.40%K -10.02%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-23 04:20
1xBet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.72%E -1.66%K -4.24%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-08-23 04:00
Pinnacle🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.29%G +0.000%	2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -1.96%E -0.813%K -1.39%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-23 04:15
Betsson🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.29%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-23 03:59
BetUS🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.29%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-23 04:10
Caesars🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.29%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-22 12:38
BetMGM🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.90%E -2.41%K -6.29%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-22 23:04
LowVig.ag🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.37%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.333%E -0.136%K -0.230%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-08-23 04:25
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.37%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.333%E -0.136%K -0.230%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-08-23 04:24
Coolbet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.50%E -2.79%K -7.37%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.21%E -2.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-23 04:20
FanDuel🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.48%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.99%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-23 04:09
NordicBet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.48%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-23 04:25
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.48%G +0.000%	2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -6.03%E -2.61%K -4.60%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-23 04:10
Coral🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.09%E -3.18%K -8.48%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-22 23:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.68%E -3.57%K -9.63%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-23 04:04
Fliff🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.68%E -3.57%K -9.63%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-08-23 04:05
DraftKings🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.87%E -4.37%K -12.05%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.333%E -0.136%K -0.230%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-23 04:24
Bovada🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.87%E -4.37%K -12.05%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-23 04:09
theScore Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.87%E -4.37%K -12.05%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-23 04:05
BoyleSports🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.87%E -4.37%K -12.05%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-23 04:05
888sport🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.87%E -4.37%K -12.05%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-23 04:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.87%E -4.37%K -12.05%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-23 04:14
888sport (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.87%E -4.37%K -12.05%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.47%E -3.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-23 04:15
ReBet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.46%E -4.78%K -13.32%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-23 04:25
Betway🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.46%E -4.78%K -13.32%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-23 04:25
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -8.65%E -5.62%K -16.01%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-08-23 04:19
Fanatics🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.24%E -6.04%K -17.44%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.44%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-08-23 04:20
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.83%E -6.47%K -18.91%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.40%E -1.87%K -3.26%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-23 04:05
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 58.52%EV -10.43%E -6.91%K -20.45%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 41.48%EV -13.35%E -6.27%K -11.81%G +0.000%	13.2%	2026-08-23 04:05

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。