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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Chunichi Dragons v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

开赛时间： 2026-05-16 05:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons (主队)

预测 58.95%1.70公平赔率
EV -2.15%
优势 -1.29%
Kelly -3.25%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.66

博彩公司预测分布
57.87%58.95%58.90%59.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.521.601.591.6665.79%62.69%62.89%60.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)

预测 41.05%2.44公平赔率
EV -3.12%
优势 -1.32%
Kelly -2.29%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.36

博彩公司预测分布
40.05%41.05%41.10%42.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.292.282.3647.62%43.65%43.86%42.37%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chunichi Dragons (主队)：58.95%；Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)：41.05%。 对于“Chunichi Dragons (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.70。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.66，期望值为-2.15%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -3.94%E -1.68%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-16 04:55
William Hill🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -6.40%E -2.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 17:15
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.74%E -1.66%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.53%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-16 04:50
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.74%E -1.66%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -4.35%E -1.87%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 04:48
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -3.12%E -1.32%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 04:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -3.12%E -1.32%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 04:40
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.50%E -2.78%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 04:54
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.50%E -2.78%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 04:34
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.50%E -2.78%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 04:50
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.50%E -2.78%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 16:54
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.53%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 04:55
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -3.94%E -1.68%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 04:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -5.99%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 04:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 04:50
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 04:50
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.53%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 04:50
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.53%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 04:50
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.27%E -3.95%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 04:50
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.27%E -3.95%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 04:35
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.86%E -4.34%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.40%E -2.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 04:50
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.53%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 04:55
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.53%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 04:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -6.40%E -2.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 04:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -6.40%E -2.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 04:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -6.40%E -2.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 04:50
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -6.40%E -2.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 04:50
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -6.40%E -2.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 04:50
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 04:30
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 04:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 04:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 04:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.63%E -5.57%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 04:50
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.63%E -5.57%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 04:54
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.63%E -5.57%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 04:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -10.40%E -6.84%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -13.79%E -6.57%K -12.54%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-16 04:50
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。