La scuola delle quote

Chunichi Dragons v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

Inizio: 2026-05-16 05:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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35 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chunichi Dragons (Casa)

Previsione 58.95%1.70quota equa
EV -2.15%
Vantaggio -1.29%
Kelly -3.25%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.87%58.95%58.90%59.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.601.591.6665.79%62.69%62.89%60.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.05%2.44quota equa
EV -3.12%
Vantaggio -1.32%
Kelly -2.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.05%41.05%41.10%42.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.292.282.3647.62%43.65%43.86%42.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -3.94%E -1.68%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-16 04:55
William Hill1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -6.40%E -2.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 17:15
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.74%E -1.66%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.53%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-16 04:50
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -2.74%E -1.66%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -4.35%E -1.87%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 04:48
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -3.12%E -1.32%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 04:40
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -3.12%E -1.32%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 04:40
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.50%E -2.78%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 04:54
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.50%E -2.78%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 04:34
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.50%E -2.78%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 04:50
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.50%E -2.78%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 16:54
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.53%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 04:55
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -3.94%E -1.68%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 04:50
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -5.99%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 04:54
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 04:50
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.09%E -3.16%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 04:50
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.53%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 04:50
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.68%E -3.55%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.53%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 04:50
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.27%E -3.95%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 04:50
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.27%E -3.95%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 04:35
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.86%E -4.34%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.40%E -2.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 04:50
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.53%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 04:55
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.53%E -1.50%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 04:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -6.40%E -2.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 04:50
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -6.40%E -2.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 04:50
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -6.40%E -2.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 04:50
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -6.40%E -2.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 04:50
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -6.40%E -2.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 04:50
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 04:30
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 04:50
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 04:50
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.45%E -4.75%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.63%E -3.39%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 04:49
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.63%E -5.57%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 04:50
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.63%E -5.57%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 04:54
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.63%E -5.57%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.58%E -2.43%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 04:35
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -10.40%E -6.84%K -20.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -13.79%E -6.57%K -12.54%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-16 04:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.