The School of Odds
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Chunichi Dragons v Saitama Seibu Lions

Kickoff: 2026-06-05 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chunichi Dragons (Local)

Prediction 44.37%2.25fair odd
EV +3.83%
Edge +1.64%
Kelly +2.86%
Growth +0.109%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.06%44.36%44.30%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.122.132.3450.76%47.13%46.95%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)

Prediction 55.63%1.80fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.868%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%55.64%55.70%58.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.691.691.7762.11%59.09%59.17%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chunichi Dragons (Local): 44.37%; Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit): 55.63%. For Chunichi Dragons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.34, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.83%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV +3.83%E +1.64%K +2.86%G +0.109%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -9.32%E -5.72%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-05 07:59
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.38%E -1.08%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.99%E -3.54%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 19:40
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -2.83%E -1.29%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -2.65%E -1.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-05 08:50
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.72%E -1.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 08:40
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.16%E -1.93%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-05 08:39
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.20%E -1.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-05 08:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.20%E -1.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-05 08:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.20%E -1.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-05 08:29
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 08:40
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.60%E -2.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 08:38
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.05%E -2.36%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.54%E -3.89%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 08:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.05%E -2.36%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.54%E -3.89%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 08:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.05%E -2.36%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.54%E -3.89%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 08:49
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.05%E -2.36%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.54%E -3.89%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 08:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.05%E -2.36%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.54%E -3.89%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 08:49
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.05%E -2.36%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.54%E -3.89%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 08:50
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -5.49%E -2.58%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -2.09%E -1.19%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 08:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.93%E -2.80%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-05 08:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 08:39
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 08:40
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.87%E -2.85%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 08:39
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.99%E -3.54%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-05 08:40
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.99%E -3.54%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-05 08:29
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.10%E -4.25%K -10.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-05 08:39
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.10%E -4.25%K -10.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-05 08:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.10%E -4.25%K -10.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-05 08:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.10%E -4.25%K -10.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-05 08:40
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.10%E -4.25%K -10.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-05 08:40
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.82%E -3.25%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.21%E -4.98%K -12.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-05 08:29
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.04%E -4.41%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.43%E -3.19%K -7.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-05 08:40
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.26%E -5.63%K -11.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.54%E -0.868%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-05 08:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -11.26%E -5.63%K -11.26%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -9.32%E -5.72%K -14.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-05 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.97%EV -12.59%E -6.39%K -12.98%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.03%EV -10.44%E -6.48%K -17.11%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-05 08:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.