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Chunichi Dragons v Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chunichi Dragons (Local)
Prediction 54.57%1.83fair odd
EV -0.685%
Edge -0.376%
Kelly -0.835%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.36%54.59%54.26%57.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.731.8260.61%57.65%57.80%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)
Prediction 45.43%2.20fair odd
EV +2.22%
Edge +0.987%
Kelly +1.78%
Growth +0.039%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.89%45.41%45.74%47.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.072.052.2551.02%48.36%48.78%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chunichi Dragons (Local): 54.57%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 45.43%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.22%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -7.78%E -4.60%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +2.22%E +0.987%K +1.78%G +0.039% | 3.6% | 2026-05-24 04:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -7.78%E -4.60%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +2.22%E +0.987%K +1.78%G +0.039% | 3.6% | 2026-05-24 04:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -5.05%E -2.90%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -0.051%E -0.023%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-24 04:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -6.14%E -3.57%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -0.051%E -0.023%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-24 04:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.14%E -3.57%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 04:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.14%E -3.57%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 04:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.78%E -4.60%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.32%E -1.08%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 04:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.41%E -1.93%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 04:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.69%E -3.91%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 04:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.69%E -3.91%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 04:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.78%E -4.60%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 04:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.96%E -6.04%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.59%E -2.19%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-24 04:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.87%E -1.61%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.50%E -2.65%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 00:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.96%E -2.25%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.50%E -2.65%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 04:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.05%E -2.90%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -6.41%E -3.11%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 04:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.05%E -2.90%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.87%E -3.35%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 04:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.05%E -2.90%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.87%E -3.35%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 04:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.05%E -2.90%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.87%E -3.35%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 04:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.60%E -3.23%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.87%E -3.35%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 04:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.69%E -3.91%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.87%E -3.35%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 04:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.23%E -4.25%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.87%E -3.35%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 04:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.23%E -4.25%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.87%E -3.35%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 04:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -0.685%E -0.376%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -9.14%E -4.57%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 03:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -2.32%E -1.30%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -9.14%E -4.57%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 04:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -2.32%E -1.30%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -9.14%E -4.57%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 04:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -2.32%E -1.30%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -9.14%E -4.57%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 04:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -2.32%E -1.30%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -9.14%E -4.57%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 04:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -2.32%E -1.30%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -9.14%E -4.57%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 04:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -2.32%E -1.30%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -9.14%E -4.57%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 04:18 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.05%E -2.90%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.14%E -4.57%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 04:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.60%E -3.23%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.14%E -4.57%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 04:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.60%E -3.23%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.14%E -4.57%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 04:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.60%E -3.23%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.14%E -4.57%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 04:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.69%E -3.91%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.14%E -4.57%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 04:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.99%EV -8.87%E -5.31%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.01%EV -10.95%E -5.59%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-24 04:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.