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Chunichi Dragons v Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chunichi Dragons (Local)
Prediction 45.29%2.21fair odd
EV +0.993%
Edge +0.446%
Kelly +0.808%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.97%45.28%45.19%48.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.052.052.2351.81%48.70%48.78%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)
Prediction 54.71%1.83fair odd
EV +0.122%
Edge +0.067%
Kelly +0.147%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.60%54.72%54.81%57.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.741.741.8361.73%57.39%57.47%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chunichi Dragons (Local): 45.29%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 54.71%. For Chunichi Dragons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.993%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV +0.993%E +0.446%K +0.808%G +0.008% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -5.90%E -3.43%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-22 08:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.365%E -0.166%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.18%E -1.01%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.63%E -1.22%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.63%E -1.22%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-22 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -2.63%E -1.22%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -11.37%E -7.02%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-22 08:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -4.44%E -2.10%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-22 08:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.89%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.89%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 08:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.89%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.54%E -4.46%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.89%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.63%E -5.17%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.80%E -2.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.61%E -1.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 14:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.80%E -2.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.71%E -2.11%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 07:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV +0.122%E +0.067%K +0.147%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-22 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.61%E -1.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.61%E -1.47%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.16%E -1.79%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 08:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-22 08:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 22:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.54%E -4.46%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 08:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.42%E -4.71%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.16%E -1.79%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 14:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.42%E -4.71%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-21 14:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.42%E -4.71%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-21 14:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.42%E -4.71%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-21 14:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.42%E -4.71%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.35%E -3.09%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-21 22:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.42%E -4.71%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 08:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -9.42%E -4.71%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -10.27%E -6.26%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-22 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -10.33%E -5.22%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -0.972%E -0.537%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-22 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -10.78%E -5.47%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -0.972%E -0.537%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 08:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -10.78%E -5.47%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -0.972%E -0.537%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 08:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -10.78%E -5.47%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -0.972%E -0.537%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 08:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -10.78%E -5.47%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -0.972%E -0.537%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 08:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -10.78%E -5.47%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -0.972%E -0.537%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 08:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -12.59%E -6.52%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -0.972%E -0.537%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 05:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.