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Chunichi Dragons v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

2026-09-21 05:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chunichi Dragons (Local)

Prediction 61.83%1.62fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -6.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.27%61.94%61.96%63.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.521.531.5668.97%65.65%65.36%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)

Prediction 38.17%2.62fair odd
EV +1.15%
Edge +0.434%
Kelly +0.697%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.14%38.06%38.04%39.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.462.482.6545.45%40.64%40.40%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chunichi Dragons (Local): 61.83%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 38.17%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.65, producing a positive expected value of +1.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -7.25%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +1.15%E +0.434%K +0.697%G +0.008%4.4%2026-09-20 17:39
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -4.16%E -2.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -1.14%E -0.440%K -0.717%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-20 18:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.90%E -0.741%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-20 16:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.90%E -0.741%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-20 16:08
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 15:39
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -4.16%E -2.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 19:09
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -4.16%E -2.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -3.81%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 18:39
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.81%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 15:39
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.78%E -3.10%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 15:39
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.25%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 16:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.11%E -6.20%K -19.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 18:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.48%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 15:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.48%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 15:39
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 15:39
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 19:04
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.25%E -4.84%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.39%E -3.50%K -5.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 15:39
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.16%E -3.85%K -6.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 15:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.16%E -3.85%K -6.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 15:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.16%E -3.85%K -6.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 15:39
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -7.87%E -5.28%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 17:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.99%EV -7.87%E -5.28%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.01%EV -11.06%E -4.75%K -8.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 15:38
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.27%EV -10.35%E -7.14%K -22.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -16.03%E -7.28%K -13.36%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-20 17:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.