Language:English
Chunichi Dragons v Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chunichi Dragons (Local)
Prediction 54.76%1.83fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.793%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.70%54.55%54.94%56.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.711.8060.61%58.18%58.48%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)
Prediction 45.24%2.21fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.00%45.45%45.06%47.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.092.102.1551.28%47.95%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chunichi Dragons (Local): 54.76%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 45.24%. For Chunichi Dragons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.80, with an expected value of -1.43%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.43%E -0.793%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 08:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.52%E -1.42%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.72%E -3.78%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-14 08:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -3.64%E -1.71%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 08:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.10%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 10:53 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 06:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 06:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -11.79%E -6.04%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-14 03:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-13 10:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-13 12:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-13 12:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-13 10:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-13 13:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.10%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 10:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-13 13:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-13 10:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-13 10:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-13 20:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-13 20:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-13 20:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-13 20:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-13 20:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-13 20:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 06:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.81%E -3.31%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-13 10:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-14 08:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 06:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.45%E -4.41%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-13 18:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.45%E -4.41%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-13 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-13 10:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-13 10:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-13 10:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -9.53%E -4.76%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-14 08:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.64%E -5.84%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-13 10:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.