The School of Odds

Chunichi Dragons v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

2026-07-12 04:30 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chunichi Dragons (Local)

Prediction 56.47%1.77fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -4.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%56.47%56.28%57.18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.671.7163%60%60%58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)

Prediction 43.53%2.30fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.519%
Kelly -0.928%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.82%43.53%43.72%44.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.162.152.2749%46%47%44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-11 15:14
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 13:45
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 13:44
William Hill1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.44%E -2.01%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -4.66%E -2.13%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 13:44
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.18%E -0.519%K -0.928%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-11 17:44
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.53%E -2.55%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 17:19
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 13:44
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.01%E -2.36%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 13:44
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.57%E -2.71%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.05%E -0.911%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-11 17:44
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.57%E -2.71%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 14:40
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.84%E -3.20%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 15:24
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.84%E -3.20%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 15:24
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.84%E -3.20%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 15:29
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.84%E -3.20%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.84%E -3.20%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 15:30
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.14%E -3.06%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.84%E -3.20%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 15:29
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.36%E -1.51%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 17:44
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 16:19
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.10%E -2.34%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 17:49
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 13:44
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 14:30
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 19:09
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 14:39
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 14:39
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.70%E -3.41%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 14:39
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.83%E -4.14%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.23%E -1.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 15:19
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.52%E -5.26%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 17:44
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.52%E -5.26%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 17:34
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.52%E -5.26%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.40%E -2.98%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 18:43
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.09%E -5.65%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.58%E -4.09%K -7.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-11 17:44
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%EV -9.09%E -5.65%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -9.45%E -4.54%K -8.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 17:44
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.65%E -6.03%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.76%E -5.25%K -10.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-11 17:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.