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Chunichi Dragons v Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chunichi Dragons (Local)
Prediction 57.95%1.73fair odd
EV -0.907%
Edge -0.530%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.99%57.91%57.82%59.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.631.641.7165.36%61.20%60.98%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)
Prediction 42.05%2.38fair odd
EV +0.081%
Edge +0.034%
Kelly +0.059%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.80%42.09%42.18%44.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.092.222.202.3847.85%44.98%45.45%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chunichi Dragons (Local): 57.95%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 42.05%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.378. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.380, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.081%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -4.96%E -3.03%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV +0.081%E +0.034%K +0.059%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-12 04:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.38%E -2.66%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.18%E -0.502%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-12 04:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.38%E -2.66%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.18%E -0.502%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-12 04:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.38%E -2.66%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.02%E -0.868%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-12 04:04 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.44%E -1.05%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 03:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.70%E -4.16%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.28%E -1.43%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-12 04:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -4.96%E -2.20%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-12 04:04 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.38%E -2.66%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.39%E -2.39%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 04:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.38%E -2.66%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.39%E -2.39%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 04:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.38%E -2.66%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.39%E -2.39%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 04:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.12%E -3.78%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.39%E -2.39%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 03:59 |
| ReBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.70%E -4.16%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.39%E -2.39%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-12 03:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.70%E -4.16%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.39%E -2.39%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-12 03:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.70%E -4.16%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.39%E -2.39%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-12 03:59 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.02%E -5.75%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.39%E -2.39%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-12 04:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.80%E -2.29%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.23%E -2.79%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 01:09 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.38%E -2.66%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.49%E -3.40%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 04:18 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.70%E -4.16%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.49%E -3.40%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-12 03:49 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.70%E -4.16%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.49%E -3.40%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-12 01:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.70%E -4.16%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.49%E -3.40%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-12 01:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.70%E -4.16%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.49%E -3.40%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-12 01:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.28%E -4.55%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.49%E -3.40%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 03:54 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.28%E -4.55%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.49%E -3.40%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 04:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.02%E -5.75%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.49%E -3.40%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-12 04:19 |
| William Hill | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -0.907%E -0.530%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -7.91%E -3.61%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -2.65%E -1.57%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -9.17%E -4.25%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 03:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -2.65%E -1.57%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -9.17%E -4.25%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 03:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -2.65%E -1.57%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -9.17%E -4.25%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 03:35 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -2.65%E -1.57%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -9.17%E -4.25%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 03:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -2.65%E -1.57%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -9.17%E -4.25%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 03:34 |
| Bally Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -2.65%E -1.57%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -9.17%E -4.25%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 03:35 |
| BetUS | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -2.65%E -1.57%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -9.17%E -4.25%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 04:20 |
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.07%E -1.22%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.59%E -4.46%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-11 14:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -9.02%E -5.75%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -9.59%E -4.46%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-12 04:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -11.34%E -7.41%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 42.27%EV -12.11%E -5.80%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-12 04:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.