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Chunichi Dragons v Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chunichi Dragons (Local)
Prediction 47.22%2.12fair odd
EV -0.358%
Edge -0.170%
Kelly -0.323%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.48%47.42%47.15%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.981.962.1153.48%50.53%51.02%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)
Prediction 52.78%1.89fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.700%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.58%52.85%54.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.791.801.8758.14%55.74%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chunichi Dragons (Local): 47.22%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 52.78%. For Chunichi Dragons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.11, with an expected value of -0.358%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -0.358%E -0.170%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -7.11%E -4.04%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 08:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -0.830%E -0.395%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -4.47%E -2.47%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-15 08:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.830%E -0.395%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.59%E -3.72%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 08:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.06%E -3.40%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 08:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.19%E -1.56%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.06%E -3.40%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 08:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.66%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.06%E -3.40%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 08:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -2.89%E -1.57%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-15 08:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.61%E -2.28%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.95%E -2.17%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 08:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.59%E -3.72%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-15 08:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.59%E -3.72%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-15 08:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.59%E -3.72%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-15 08:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.59%E -3.72%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-15 08:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.55%E -2.78%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.70%E -5.03%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-15 08:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -6.03%E -3.03%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -2.36%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 08:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.50%E -3.28%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.59%E -3.72%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 08:53 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.97%E -3.54%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 08:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.44%E -3.80%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-15 08:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.44%E -3.80%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-15 08:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.44%E -3.80%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-15 08:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.44%E -3.80%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-15 08:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.44%E -3.80%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-15 08:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.91%E -4.06%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.31%E -0.700%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 08:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.91%E -4.06%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 08:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.91%E -4.06%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.64%E -4.37%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 08:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.91%E -4.06%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.64%E -4.37%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 08:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.91%E -4.06%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.17%E -4.69%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-15 08:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -9.33%E -4.86%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -9.22%E -5.36%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-15 08:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -9.80%E -5.13%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -2.36%E -1.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 08:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.80%E -5.13%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.42%E -1.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 08:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.80%E -5.13%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-15 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.80%E -5.13%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-15 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.80%E -5.13%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.00%E -2.78%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-15 08:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -10.28%E -5.41%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -2.89%E -1.57%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 08:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.69%E -6.25%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.31%E -0.700%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 08:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.