默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

开赛时间： 2026-09-02 09:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

58%

42%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons (主队)

预测 57.91%1.73公平赔率

EV -1.56%

优势 -0.918%

Kelly -2.23%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.70

博彩公司预测分布

55.61%58.02%57.84%59.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.551.631.631.7064.52%61.45%61.35%58.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)

预测 42.09%2.38公平赔率

EV -3.18%

优势 -1.38%

Kelly -2.45%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布

40.26%41.98%42.16%44.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.062.232.252.3048.54%44.88%44.44%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chunichi Dragons (主队)：57.91%；Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)：42.09%。对于“Chunichi Dragons (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.73。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.70，期望值为-1.56%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
BetUS🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -1.56%E -0.918%K -2.23%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -10.34%E -4.85%K -9.15%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-02 08:54
Pinnacle🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -2.14%E -1.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -4.45%E -1.96%K -3.50%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-09-02 08:45
1xBet🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -2.72%E -1.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -4.45%E -1.96%K -3.50%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-09-02 08:45
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.30%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.18%E -1.38%K -2.45%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-09-02 02:45
LowVig.ag🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.30%E -1.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.18%E -1.38%K -2.45%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-09-02 02:45
NordicBet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.46%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-02 08:44
Betsson🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.46%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-02 08:45
BetMGM🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.46%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-02 08:50
Bovada🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.46%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.39%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-02 08:45
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.87%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -6.55%E -2.95%K -5.37%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-02 08:49
FanDuel🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.03%E -1.77%K -3.14%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-02 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-02 08:40
Bally Bet🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-02 08:40
BetRivers🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-02 08:40
PMU (FR)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-02 08:40
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-02 08:40
Unibet🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-02 08:40
Coolbet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.18%E -1.38%K -2.45%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-01 14:55
DraftKings🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.18%E -1.38%K -2.45%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-02 08:45
Caesars🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.29%E -2.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-01 14:53
BoyleSports🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.39%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-02 08:40
theScore Bet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.39%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-02 08:40
ReBet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.39%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-02 08:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.39%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-02 08:40
888sport🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.39%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-02 08:54
888sport (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.39%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-02 08:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.39%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-02 08:55
Betway🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.39%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-02 08:40
Coral🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.39%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-09-02 08:50
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -8.51%E -5.39%K -14.67%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.60%E -5.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-09-02 08:50
Fanatics🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.39%E -3.36%K -6.16%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-09-02 08:49
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.25%E -6.61%K -18.63%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.18%E -1.38%K -2.45%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-02 08:40
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 57.06%EV -10.25%E -6.61%K -18.63%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -13.29%E -6.45%K -12.53%G +0.000%	13.1%	2026-09-02 08:44

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。