Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chunichi Dragons v Hanshin Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-07-16 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chunichi Dragons (Local)

Prediction 48.45%2.06fair odd
EV +0.768%
Edge +0.369%
Kelly +0.711%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.09%48.42%48.54%50.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.941.952.0854.95%51.58%51.28%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hanshin Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 51.55%1.94fair odd
EV +0.530%
Edge +0.272%
Kelly +0.558%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.74%51.58%51.46%53.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.821.821.9558.48%54.94%54.95%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chunichi Dragons (Local): 48.45%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 51.55%. For Chunichi Dragons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.768%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV +0.768%E +0.369%K +0.711%G +0.005%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -8.23%E -4.63%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 05:20
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-16 08:45
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -3.11%E -1.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -11.33%E -6.59%K -15.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-16 08:10
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -3.11%E -1.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -11.84%E -6.93%K -16.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-16 08:55
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.08%E -2.06%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-15 22:40
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.56%E -2.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -6.17%E -3.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-16 08:50
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.05%E -2.57%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 08:55
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.05%E -2.57%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 08:55
Bally Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.05%E -2.57%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.17%E -3.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-16 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.05%E -2.57%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.17%E -3.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-16 08:50
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.05%E -2.57%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.17%E -3.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-16 08:50
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.05%E -2.57%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.17%E -3.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-16 08:50
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.05%E -2.57%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.17%E -3.39%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-16 08:50
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 08:55
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.63%E -2.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 08:55
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-16 08:55
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-15 13:24
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.78%E -5.59%K -13.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-15 22:39
MyBookie.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-16 08:55
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -6.50%E -3.37%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV +0.530%E +0.272%K +0.558%G +0.003%3.1%2026-07-16 08:55
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.50%E -3.37%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.59%E -1.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 08:50
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.47%E -3.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.53%E -0.802%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 08:55
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.47%E -3.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.53%E -0.802%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 08:55
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.47%E -3.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.53%E -0.802%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-16 08:55
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.47%E -3.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-16 08:55
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.47%E -3.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.66%E -3.09%K -6.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-16 08:55
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.47%E -3.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-16 08:53
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.47%E -3.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-16 08:30
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.47%E -3.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-16 08:30
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.47%E -3.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-16 08:30
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.47%E -3.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-16 08:55
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.95%E -4.19%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.20%E -4.00%K -9.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-16 08:55
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.41%E -5.03%K -10.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.59%E -1.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-16 08:50
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -10.37%E -5.61%K -12.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.39%EV -9.78%E -5.59%K -13.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-16 08:55
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.59%EV -11.83%E -6.50%K -14.42%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.41%EV -11.33%E -6.59%K -15.73%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-16 08:53
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.