Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chunichi Dragons v Hanshin Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-05-04 05:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chunichi Dragons (Local)

Prediction 44.81%2.23fair odd
EV -0.978%
Edge -0.442%
Kelly -0.808%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.62%44.92%44.78%47.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.092.102.2150.00%47.87%47.62%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hanshin Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 55.19%1.81fair odd
EV +1.00%
Edge +0.549%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.71%55.08%55.22%56.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.711.711.8361.35%58.42%58.48%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chunichi Dragons (Local): 44.81%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 55.19%. For Hanshin Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -8.59%E -4.21%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV +1.00%E +0.549%K +1.21%G +0.012%3.7%2026-05-04 05:25
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.39%E -5.19%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 09:45
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.39%E -5.19%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.31%E -1.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 05:20
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -2.77%E -1.28%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -2.86%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-04 05:15
William Hill🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.01%E -2.36%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 01:59
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 05:20
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 05:25
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 05:25
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 05:25
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -9.49%E -4.70%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 04:35
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -9.49%E -4.70%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 04:35
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -9.49%E -4.70%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 04:35
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.39%E -5.19%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 05:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.39%E -5.19%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 05:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.39%E -5.19%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.52%E -2.61%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 05:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -0.978%E -0.442%K -0.808%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-04 05:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -0.978%E -0.442%K -0.808%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-04 05:25
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.43%E -0.648%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-04 05:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -7.70%E -3.74%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 05:19
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.62%E -3.29%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-04 05:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 05:15
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.32%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.72%E -3.98%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 05:25
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.72%E -3.98%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 05:09
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.72%E -3.98%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 02:05
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 05:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 05:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -5.01%E -2.36%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 05:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -5.01%E -2.36%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 05:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -5.01%E -2.36%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 05:25
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 05:25
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 05:25
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 05:25
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.83%E -4.69%K -11.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 02:09
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.91%E -2.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.93%E -5.41%K -13.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-04 04:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.15%E -3.97%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -10.03%E -6.16%K -15.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-04 05:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.