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Chunichi Dragons v Hanshin Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chunichi Dragons (Local)
Prediction 39.48%2.53fair odd
EV -0.906%
Edge -0.361%
Kelly -0.600%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.84%39.48%39.35%41.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.392.382.5146.08%41.85%42.02%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hanshin Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 60.52%1.65fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.829%
Kelly -2.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.42%60.52%60.65%62.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.551.551.6367.11%64.39%64.52%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chunichi Dragons (Local): 39.48%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 60.52%. For Chunichi Dragons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.51, with an expected value of -0.906%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -0.906%E -0.361%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -4.38%E -2.77%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-14 08:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -0.906%E -0.361%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -4.38%E -2.77%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-14 08:39 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -2.09%E -0.843%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -8.01%E -5.27%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-14 08:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -2.09%E -0.843%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -8.61%E -5.70%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-14 08:04 |
| BetRivers | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -2.09%E -0.843%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -8.61%E -5.70%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-14 08:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -2.09%E -0.843%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -8.61%E -5.70%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-14 08:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -2.09%E -0.843%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -8.61%E -5.70%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-14 08:04 |
| Bally Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -2.09%E -0.843%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -8.61%E -5.70%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-14 08:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.27%E -1.34%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.77%E -2.37%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.27%E -1.34%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.19%E -4.00%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.27%E -1.34%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.19%E -4.00%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.27%E -1.34%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.80%E -4.41%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-14 08:44 |
| 1xBet | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%EV -3.17%E -1.98%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-14 08:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.46%E -1.84%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.98%E -3.17%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 08:54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -4.85%E -2.01%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -1.96%E -1.21%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-14 08:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.25%E -2.19%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.38%E -2.77%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| Caesars | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.25%E -2.19%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.40%E -4.84%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -6.04%E -2.54%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.56%E -1.59%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.04%E -2.54%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.40%E -4.84%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.04%E -2.54%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.40%E -4.84%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.04%E -2.54%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.40%E -4.84%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.43%E -2.71%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.40%E -4.84%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-14 08:44 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -6.83%E -2.89%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -4.98%E -3.17%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-14 08:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.77%E -2.37%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.98%E -3.17%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| ReBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.59%E -3.58%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.59%E -3.58%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.22%E -3.07%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.01%E -5.27%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.20%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.77%E -2.37%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-14 08:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.20%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.98%E -3.17%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-14 08:50 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.20%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.59%E -3.58%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.20%E -4.00%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.19%E -4.00%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-14 08:50 |
| BetUS | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -9.59%E -4.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -1.35%E -0.829%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-14 08:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -13.14%E -5.97%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.30%EV -8.61%E -5.70%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.71%EV -14.33%E -6.60%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.29%EV -9.82%E -6.59%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.