Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.43
assuming max odds 1.69
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chunichi Dragons (Local): 40.50%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 59.50%. For Hanshin Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.69, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.555%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -12.92%E -6.01%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV +0.555%E +0.328%K +0.804%G +0.004% | 5.7% | 2026-05-05 13:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -5.23%E -2.23%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.02%E -1.85%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 03:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-06 03:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-06 04:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-06 04:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -3.20%E -1.34%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-06 04:52 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 04:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 04:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 04:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -1.58%E -0.652%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-06 04:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.23%E -2.23%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 04:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.90%E -4.95%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 01:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.90%E -4.95%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 01:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.90%E -4.95%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 01:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -9.68%E -4.34%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 04:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -9.68%E -4.34%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 04:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -9.68%E -4.34%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 04:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -9.68%E -4.34%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 04:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -9.68%E -4.34%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 04:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -9.68%E -4.34%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 04:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.40%E -3.39%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 04:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.87%E -3.94%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.40%E -3.39%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 03:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.99%E -3.79%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 03:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 03:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 04:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.04%E -2.60%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 03:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 03:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 03:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 04:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.18%E -4.60%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 03:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.37%E -5.44%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 04:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.01%E -1.69%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.97%E -5.86%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 04:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -8.87%E -3.94%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.97%E -5.86%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-06 04:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.56%E -6.29%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-06 03:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.