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Chunichi Dragons v Hanshin Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chunichi Dragons (Local)
Prediction 47.72%2.10fair odd
EV -0.738%
Edge -0.355%
Kelly -0.683%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%47.55%47.71%50.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.972.002.0854.35%50.72%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hanshin Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 52.28%1.91fair odd
EV +0.896%
Edge +0.464%
Kelly +0.964%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.21%52.45%52.29%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.791.801.9360.61%55.72%55.56%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chunichi Dragons (Local): 47.72%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 52.28%. For Hanshin Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.91. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.93, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.896%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -10.76%E -5.75%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV +0.896%E +0.464%K +0.964%G +0.009% | 5.3% | 2026-07-15 08:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.24%E -1.20%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-15 08:55 |
| Bovada | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.76%E -5.75%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.24%E -1.20%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-15 08:48 |
| Pinnacle | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.29%E -1.78%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-15 08:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.55%EV -3.12%E -1.54%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.45%EV -3.81%E -2.07%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-15 08:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-15 08:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-15 08:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.51%E -2.78%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.33%E -2.37%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 08:50 |
| Betsson | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.85%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-15 08:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.85%E -2.67%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-15 08:54 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.46%E -3.30%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -5.38%E -2.97%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-15 08:54 |
| Coolbet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.60%E -1.78%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-15 08:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.51%E -2.78%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-14 22:35 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-14 13:22 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-15 08:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-15 08:49 |
| ReBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-15 08:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-15 08:49 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.85%E -4.63%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-15 08:50 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.33%E -4.91%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.90%E -3.28%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-15 08:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.42%E -3.59%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 14:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.42%E -3.59%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.42%E -3.59%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 14:49 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.42%E -3.59%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 14:49 |
| Bally Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.42%E -3.59%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.42%E -3.59%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-14 14:55 |
| William Hill | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.738%E -0.355%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.95%E -3.90%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-15 04:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.51%E -4.86%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-15 08:55 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.94%E -3.56%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.51%E -4.86%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-14 22:33 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.20%EV -10.76%E -5.75%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%EV -9.04%E -5.19%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-15 08:50 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.56%E -5.53%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-15 03:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.56%E -5.53%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-15 03:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.56%E -2.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.56%E -5.53%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-15 03:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.17%EV -12.19%E -6.63%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.83%EV -10.60%E -6.20%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-15 08:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -13.74%E -8.33%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-15 08:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.