Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

Kickoff: 2026-06-14 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)

Prediction 50.88%1.97fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -3.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.60%50.90%51.05%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.851.851.9157.14%54.09%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)

Prediction 49.12%2.04fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%49.10%48.95%50.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.911.921.9955.87%52.31%52.08%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 50.88%; Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit): 49.12%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.99, with an expected value of -2.25%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.48%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 04:20
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%EV -2.25%E -1.13%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-14 04:50
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-14 04:50
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -3.33%E -1.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -8.15%E -4.36%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 04:50
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.84%E -2.03%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.20%E -2.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 04:20
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 04:40
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 04:40
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 04:20
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 04:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 04:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 04:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 04:30
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.15%E -4.36%K -9.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 04:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.85%E -2.60%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.15%E -4.36%K -9.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 04:20
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 04:10
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -2.25%E -1.13%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 15:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 04:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 04:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 04:10
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 04:00
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 04:10
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.13%E -4.93%K -10.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-14 04:20
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 20:50
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 03:40
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 04:50
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.15%E -4.36%K -9.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-14 04:19
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.89%E -3.76%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.11%E -5.53%K -12.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-14 04:20
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.22%E -2.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-13 14:50
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-13 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-13 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-13 14:50
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.18%E -3.24%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-13 20:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -9.62%E -5.23%K -11.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-14 04:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.56%EV -10.96%E -6.26%K -14.61%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.44%EV -12.08%E -6.75%K -15.29%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-14 04:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.