The School of Odds
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Chiba Lotte Marines v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

Kickoff: 2026-06-13 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)

Prediction 52.81%1.89fair odd
EV +0.867%
Edge +0.454%
Kelly +0.953%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.55%53.05%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.781.771.9159.17%56.21%56.50%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)

Prediction 47.19%2.12fair odd
EV -0.901%
Edge -0.429%
Kelly -0.819%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%47.45%46.95%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.002.002.1054.05%50.09%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 52.81%; Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit): 47.19%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.867%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.867%E +0.454%K +0.953%G +0.008%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.87%E -5.17%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 15:49
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -1.25%E -0.666%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -9.87%E -5.17%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 20:09
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.25%E -0.666%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.75%E -6.29%K -13.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 15:30
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.25%E -0.666%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.75%E -6.29%K -13.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 15:29
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.51%E -3.83%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 04:50
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -3.36%E -1.83%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -12.70%E -6.86%K -14.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 20:10
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -4.41%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -1.37%E -0.657%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-13 04:40
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.41%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -2.79%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-13 04:40
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 04:49
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 04:50
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 04:50
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.87%E -5.17%K -10.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-13 04:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.87%E -5.17%K -10.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-13 04:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.94%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.87%E -5.17%K -10.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-13 04:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.47%E -3.06%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -6.09%E -3.06%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 04:48
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.53%E -3.69%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.901%E -0.429%K -0.819%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 04:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.53%E -3.69%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.901%E -0.429%K -0.819%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 04:50
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.53%E -3.69%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -2.79%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 04:50
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.53%E -3.69%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 04:50
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.53%E -3.69%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-13 04:50
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.53%E -3.69%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-13 04:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -8.11%E -4.66%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -2.79%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-13 04:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -8.11%E -4.66%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -2.79%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-13 04:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -8.11%E -4.66%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -2.79%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-13 04:50
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -8.11%E -4.66%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -2.79%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-13 04:50
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -8.11%E -4.66%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -2.79%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-13 04:50
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -8.11%E -4.66%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -2.79%E -1.35%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-13 04:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.11%E -4.66%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-13 04:50
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.11%E -4.66%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-13 04:48
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.11%E -4.66%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-13 04:50
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.69%E -5.67%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-13 04:50
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.22%E -6.01%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-13 04:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.55%EV -10.22%E -6.01%K -14.60%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -7.51%E -3.83%K -7.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-13 04:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.39%EV -10.75%E -6.36%K -15.58%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.61%EV -12.23%E -6.57%K -14.22%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-13 04:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.