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Chiba Lotte Marines v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-07-23 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)

Prediction 47.21%2.12fair odd
EV -0.864%
Edge -0.411%
Kelly -0.785%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%47.23%47.21%50.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.992.002.1053.48%50.26%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 52.79%1.89fair odd
EV +0.305%
Edge +0.161%
Kelly +0.339%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.60%52.77%52.79%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.781.781.9059.52%56.16%56.18%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 47.21%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 52.79%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.305%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -11.72%E -6.27%K -13.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV +0.305%E +0.161%K +0.339%G +0.001%6.1%2026-07-23 08:54
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.95%E -4.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.28%E -0.684%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 08:54
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -4.17%E -2.05%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -1.81%E -0.971%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-23 08:45
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -4.64%E -2.30%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -2.86%E -1.56%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-23 08:29
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.92%E -2.15%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 13:10
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.92%E -2.15%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 13:10
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.64%E -2.30%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.45%E -2.46%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-22 17:15
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.64%E -2.30%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 17:19
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-23 00:19
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.95%E -4.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 13:14
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.95%E -4.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 08:28
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.31%E -5.42%K -11.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 20:09
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.31%E -5.42%K -11.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-23 08:54
MyBookie.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.50%E -3.07%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 17:24
William Hill🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -1.81%E -0.869%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.03%E -3.39%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-22 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.64%E -2.30%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.03%E -3.39%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-23 08:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.64%E -2.30%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.03%E -3.39%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-23 08:04
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.64%E -2.30%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.03%E -3.39%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-23 08:04
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.64%E -2.30%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.03%E -3.39%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-23 08:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.64%E -2.30%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.03%E -3.39%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-23 08:04
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -4.64%E -2.30%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.03%E -3.39%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-23 08:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.864%E -0.411%K -0.785%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.56%E -3.70%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-23 08:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.864%E -0.411%K -0.785%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.56%E -3.70%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-23 08:49
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.56%E -3.70%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 17:14
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.56%E -3.70%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-23 08:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.56%E -3.70%K -8.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 17:14
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.95%E -4.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.56%E -3.70%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 13:29
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.95%E -4.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.61%E -4.35%K -10.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 00:19
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.95%E -4.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.14%E -4.68%K -11.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-22 18:10
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.67%E -5.01%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 17:19
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.67%E -5.01%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 17:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.67%E -5.01%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 17:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.67%E -5.01%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 17:19
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -5.58%E -2.79%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.73%E -5.69%K -13.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-23 08:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.37%EV -10.31%E -5.42%K -11.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.63%EV -9.73%E -5.69%K -13.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-23 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.32%EV -11.72%E -6.27%K -13.47%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.68%EV -11.31%E -6.73%K -16.63%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-23 08:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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