Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-09-09 09:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)

Prediction 46.42%2.15fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.26%46.52%46.38%48.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.032.052.1052.91%49.34%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 53.58%1.87fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -2.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.35%53.48%53.62%54.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.751.761.8360.24%57.08%56.82%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 46.42%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 53.58%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -1.96%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 08:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.51%E -1.20%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 08:35
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.71%E -3.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-08 13:14
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -7.85%E -4.56%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 21:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -7.85%E -4.56%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 21:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -7.85%E -4.56%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 21:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -7.85%E -4.56%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 21:20
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -7.85%E -4.56%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 21:20
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -3.44%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -7.85%E -4.56%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 21:18
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-09 08:15
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.37%E -2.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.03%E -1.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-08 13:15
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.37%E -2.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 13:10
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 13:10
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.63%E -2.60%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 08:39
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.63%E -2.60%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 08:39
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-08 15:20
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.83%E -2.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 13:11
MyBookie.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -5.76%E -2.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.71%E -3.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 13:09
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 13:10
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 08:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 13:25
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 06:30
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 08:04
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.31%E -4.23%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 13:10
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.31%E -4.23%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 13:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.31%E -4.23%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 13:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.31%E -4.23%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 13:15
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 18:05
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 22:44
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-08 22:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.69%EV -10.40%E -5.39%K -11.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.31%EV -9.46%E -5.60%K -13.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-09 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -11.79%E -6.21%K -13.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 02:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.76%EV -12.26%E -6.49%K -13.77%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.24%EV -11.06%E -6.66%K -16.76%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 08:32
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.