Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.71
assuming max odds 2.29
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 56.98%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 43.02%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.29, with an expected value of -1.49%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -2.56%E -1.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -3.65%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-21 07:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.56%E -1.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.67%E -4.60%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-21 07:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.13%E -1.84%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.52%E -3.50%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 07:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -3.13%E -1.84%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -7.95%E -3.71%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 13:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -3.13%E -1.84%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -7.95%E -3.71%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 13:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -3.13%E -1.84%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -7.95%E -3.71%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 13:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -3.13%E -1.84%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -7.95%E -3.71%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 13:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -3.13%E -1.84%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -7.95%E -3.71%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 13:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -3.13%E -1.84%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -7.95%E -3.71%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-20 13:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.27%E -2.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.36%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-21 07:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.27%E -2.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.36%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-21 07:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.27%E -2.54%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.37%E -2.44%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 07:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.84%E -2.90%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -1.49%E -0.653%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-21 06:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.84%E -2.90%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.37%E -2.44%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 13:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.84%E -2.90%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.52%E -3.50%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-21 07:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.84%E -2.90%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.52%E -3.50%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-21 07:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.84%E -2.90%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.52%E -3.50%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-21 07:28 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.84%E -2.90%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.52%E -3.50%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-21 07:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.41%E -3.26%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -1.92%E -0.844%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-21 07:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.41%E -3.26%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.80%E -2.65%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-21 07:38 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.98%E -3.62%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-21 07:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.98%E -3.62%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.52%E -3.50%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-21 07:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -5.98%E -3.62%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -11.82%E -5.77%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-21 07:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.12%E -4.37%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.92%E -0.844%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-21 07:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.37%E -2.44%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-21 07:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.52%E -3.50%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-21 07:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.52%E -3.50%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-21 07:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.25%E -5.13%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.22%E -1.43%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-21 03:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.25%E -5.13%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.37%E -2.44%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-21 02:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.25%E -5.13%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.37%E -2.44%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-21 02:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.25%E -5.13%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.37%E -2.44%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-21 02:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.25%E -5.13%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.67%E -4.60%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-21 07:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.82%E -5.52%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.37%E -2.44%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-21 07:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.82%E -5.52%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.37%E -2.44%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-21 03:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.39%EV -10.53%E -6.71%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.61%EV -12.68%E -6.25%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-21 07:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.