Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-06-20 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)

Prediction 51.71%1.93fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.641%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%51.90%51.59%54.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.811.801.9157.47%55.37%55.56%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 48.29%2.07fair odd
EV +0.433%
Edge +0.208%
Kelly +0.401%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.79%48.10%48.41%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.981.982.0853.48%50.54%50.51%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 51.71%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 48.29%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.433%.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -7.95%E -4.47%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV +0.433%E +0.208%K +0.401%G +0.002%4.3%2026-06-20 06:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -10.02%E -5.76%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -0.532%E -0.258%K -0.502%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 08:09
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -10.02%E -5.76%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -0.532%E -0.258%K -0.502%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 08:09
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -10.02%E -5.76%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -0.532%E -0.258%K -0.502%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 08:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -10.02%E -5.76%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -0.532%E -0.258%K -0.502%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 08:10
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -10.02%E -5.76%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -0.532%E -0.258%K -0.502%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 08:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -10.02%E -5.76%K -13.54%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -0.532%E -0.258%K -0.502%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 08:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.36%E -2.93%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.43%E -1.71%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 08:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.36%E -2.93%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.43%E -1.71%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 08:30
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.88%E -3.23%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.43%E -1.71%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 07:49
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -1.22%E -0.641%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -4.40%E -2.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-20 08:40
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.33%E -2.34%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.40%E -2.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 08:19
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.33%E -2.34%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.40%E -2.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 08:19
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.36%E -2.93%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.84%E -3.00%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 08:29
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.36%E -2.93%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.84%E -3.00%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 03:29
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.36%E -2.93%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.78%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-19 14:57
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.36%E -2.93%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.78%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 08:09
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.91%E -3.84%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.78%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 07:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.91%E -3.84%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.78%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 07:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.91%E -3.84%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.78%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 07:50
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.91%E -3.84%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.78%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 03:29
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.91%E -3.84%K -8.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.26%E -4.35%K -9.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-20 08:09
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -1.22%E -0.641%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -9.71%E -5.19%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-20 08:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.