Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.07
assuming max odds 1.89
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 47.84%; Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit): 52.16%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.07, with an expected value of -0.976%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -0.976%E -0.471%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -6.63%E -3.70%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-05 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -0.976%E -0.471%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -6.63%E -3.70%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-05 08:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.37%E -1.67%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.11%E -3.39%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 08:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -3.85%E -1.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-05 08:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.67%E -4.33%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 06:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.76%E -5.64%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 06:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.76%E -5.64%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 06:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.76%E -5.64%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 06:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -4.32%E -2.16%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -10.80%E -6.32%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 08:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -5.28%E -2.67%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-05 08:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.28%E -2.67%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.54%E -2.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.28%E -2.67%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.11%E -3.39%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 02:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.24%E -3.18%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.06%E -2.78%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 08:43 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.50%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 08:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.50%E -1.89%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 08:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.55%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.45%EV -4.02%E -2.19%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.11%E -3.39%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 08:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.11%E -3.39%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 08:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.11%E -3.39%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.11%E -3.39%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 08:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.72%E -4.98%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.72%E -4.98%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-05 02:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.19%E -3.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.54%E -2.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.19%E -3.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.54%E -2.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.19%E -3.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.54%E -2.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.19%E -3.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.54%E -2.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.19%E -3.71%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.54%E -2.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.54%E -2.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 08:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.11%E -3.39%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -10.54%E -5.64%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -1.41%E -0.748%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 08:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.31%EV -12.46%E -6.81%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.69%EV -10.80%E -6.32%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.28%EV -13.89%E -7.72%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.72%EV -12.37%E -7.36%K -18.19%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-10-05 08:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.