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Chiba Lotte Marines v Saitama Seibu Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)
Prediction 47.19%2.12fair odd
EV -0.904%
Edge -0.431%
Kelly -0.822%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%47.13%47.21%48.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.991.992.1053.76%50.38%50.25%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)
Prediction 52.81%1.89fair odd
EV -0.186%
Edge -0.099%
Kelly -0.209%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.04%52.87%52.79%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.781.801.8959.17%56.07%55.56%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 47.19%; Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit): 52.81%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.894. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.890, with an expected value of -0.186%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -0.904%E -0.431%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -4.41%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.94%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 08:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.00%E -3.37%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.00%E -3.37%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.26%E -1.59%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.11%E -4.66%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 08:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.68%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.41%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.68%E -2.32%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.94%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.35%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.35%E -1.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 14:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.94%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.52%E -3.69%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.52%E -3.69%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.64%E -4.99%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.64%E -4.99%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.64%E -4.99%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -5.62%E -2.81%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.69%E -5.67%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -6.09%E -3.06%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -2.30%E -1.24%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -6.09%E -3.06%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.47%E -3.05%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 08:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.57%E -3.32%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.94%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 00:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -7.04%E -3.57%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -0.186%E -0.099%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.04%E -3.57%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.41%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -7.51%E -3.83%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.41%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -7.51%E -3.83%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.41%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -7.51%E -3.83%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.41%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -7.51%E -3.83%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.41%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -7.51%E -3.83%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.41%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 08:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.94%E -2.74%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 13:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.52%E -3.69%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.58%E -4.33%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.58%E -4.33%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-05 00:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.98%E -4.09%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.11%E -4.66%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -8.45%E -4.36%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -4.41%E -2.44%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%EV -10.34%E -5.44%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -9.16%E -5.33%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-05 08:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.61%EV -12.23%E -6.57%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 52.39%EV -10.75%E -6.36%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-05 08:48 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.