Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines v Saitama Seibu Lions

2026-08-05 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)

Prediction 48.33%2.07fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -3.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.30%48.29%48.45%50.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.941.952.0054.05%51.47%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)

Prediction 51.67%1.94fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.87%51.71%51.55%52.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.821.821.8957.14%54.90%54.95%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 48.33%; Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit): 51.67%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.89, with an expected value of -2.35%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.87%E -1.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 22:40
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 14:30
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 14:39
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 19:04
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 19:04
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.33%E -1.67%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 16:15
William Hill1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -3.81%E -1.92%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 14:00
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -4.78%E -2.43%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -2.35%E -1.24%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 14:45
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -4.78%E -2.43%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 17:10
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.26%E -2.69%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.42%E -2.39%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 13:55
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.26%E -2.69%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 17:10
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.26%E -2.69%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 17:10
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.26%E -2.69%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 17:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.26%E -2.69%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 17:15
Bally Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.26%E -2.69%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.97%E -3.28%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 17:14
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.39%E -1.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 13:54
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 14:10
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 13:55
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.75%E -2.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.59%E -5.48%K -12.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 15:10
MyBookie.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.23%E -3.21%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 13:53
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.68%E -4.02%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 13:54
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.68%E -4.02%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 13:54
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.68%E -4.02%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 13:55
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.68%E -4.02%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.45%E -2.98%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 14:42
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.68%E -4.02%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 13:54
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.68%E -4.02%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 13:54
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.68%E -4.02%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 13:54
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.68%E -4.02%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.00%E -3.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 18:14
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -9.61%E -5.14%K -11.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -2.87%E -1.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 22:30
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -9.61%E -5.14%K -11.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -8.55%E -4.83%K -11.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-04 13:55
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -9.61%E -5.14%K -11.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -8.55%E -4.83%K -11.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-04 21:05
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.75%EV -10.58%E -5.72%K -12.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.25%EV -9.07%E -5.15%K -11.93%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-04 21:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.