Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines v Saitama Seibu Lions

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)

Prediction 52.01%1.92fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -3.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.10%52.00%53.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.801.801.8757.80%55.62%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)

Prediction 47.99%2.08fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -2.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.56%47.90%48.00%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.961.952.0254.35%51.10%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 52.01%; Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit): 47.99%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -2.75%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.75%E -1.47%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.41%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 09:20
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -3.27%E -1.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -4.01%E -2.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-27 08:50
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -3.79%E -2.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.49%E -2.26%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 07:49
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.79%E -2.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.93%E -3.03%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 08:55
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.79%E -2.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.93%E -3.03%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 09:25
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.83%E -2.64%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.01%E -2.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 09:24
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.83%E -2.64%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.01%E -2.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 09:19
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.83%E -2.64%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.41%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-27 09:24
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.35%E -2.94%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.01%E -2.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 09:20
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.35%E -2.94%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.01%E -2.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-27 09:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.87%E -3.24%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 09:25
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.39%E -3.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.41%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 09:25
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.39%E -3.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.41%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 09:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.39%E -3.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.41%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.39%E -3.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.41%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 08:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.39%E -3.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 07:59
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.39%E -3.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 08:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.39%E -3.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 08:00
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.39%E -3.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 07:54
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.39%E -3.55%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.81%E -4.64%K -9.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 08:54
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.95%E -4.49%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.01%E -2.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 07:02
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.95%E -4.49%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.01%E -2.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 23:09
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.95%E -4.49%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.01%E -2.01%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 09:20
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.95%E -4.49%K -10.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -6.41%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-27 09:24
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.47%E -4.81%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.05%E -1.51%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 22:54
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.47%E -4.81%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.05%E -1.51%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 23:04
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -8.47%E -4.81%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.05%E -1.51%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 23:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.99%E -5.14%K -11.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.41%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 09:25
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.99%E -5.14%K -11.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.41%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 02:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -10.03%E -5.80%K -13.74%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.46%EV -11.69%E -6.35%K -13.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-27 09:25
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -10.03%E -5.80%K -13.74%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.46%EV -11.69%E -6.35%K -13.92%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-27 09:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.