The School of Odds

Chiba Lotte Marines v Orix Buffaloes

2026-07-12 08:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)

Prediction 49.76%2.01fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -0.999%
Kelly -2.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.65%49.76%50.00%51.35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.891.9756%53%53%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Orix Buffaloes (Visit)

Prediction 50.24%1.99fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -3.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.65%50.24%50.00%51.35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.771.861.871.9256%54%53%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%EV -1.97%E -0.999%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -3.54%E -1.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-11 17:29
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.96%E -1.52%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.05%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 19:18
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -3.46%E -1.78%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -3.54%E -1.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-11 14:44
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.96%E -2.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.05%E -2.67%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 19:15
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 13:45
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 13:44
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 13:44
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.05%E -2.12%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 14:59
MyBookie.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.05%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 19:18
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.05%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 16:19
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.06%E -4.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 19:14
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.06%E -4.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 19:14
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.95%E -2.59%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.06%E -4.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 17:29
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 13:44
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 13:44
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.45%E -2.87%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.57%E -5.32%K -11.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 19:13
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.15%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.67%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 15:45
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 15:44
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 15:44
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 15:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 15:45
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.45%E -3.43%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.55%E -2.95%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 15:43
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.05%E -3.24%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 14:58
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.95%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.06%E -4.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 19:15
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.95%E -3.71%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.06%E -4.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 19:14
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.94%E -4.29%K -9.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 14:59
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.94%E -4.29%K -9.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 14:59
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.94%E -4.29%K -9.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 15:00
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -8.44%E -4.59%K -10.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -9.57%E -5.32%K -11.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-11 19:18
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.94%E -4.88%K -10.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.41%K -9.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 17:05
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.43%E -5.79%K -13.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.55%E -2.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 18:45
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.58%EV -10.43%E -5.79%K -13.04%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.42%EV -11.08%E -6.26%K -14.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-11 19:14
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.58%EV -10.43%E -5.79%K -13.04%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.42%EV -11.08%E -6.26%K -14.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-11 19:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.