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Chiba Lotte Marines v Orix Buffaloes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)
Prediction 48.01%2.08fair odd
EV -0.147%
Edge -0.071%
Kelly -0.137%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.11%48.15%48.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.941.952.0854.35%51.42%51.28%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Orix Buffaloes (Visit)
Prediction 51.99%1.92fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.85%52.00%53.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.821.811.8858.82%54.94%55.10%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 48.01%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 51.99%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.083. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.080, with an expected value of -0.147%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.147%E -0.071%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -7.45%E -4.19%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 06:49 |
| Pinnacle | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.07%E -1.01%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-12 07:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.55%E -1.26%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-12 07:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.55%E -1.26%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-12 07:44 |
| 1xBet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.51%E -1.75%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-12 07:38 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-12 07:44 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-12 07:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 07:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-12 06:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -3.99%E -1.99%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -10.57%E -6.15%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-12 07:54 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.95%E -2.50%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-12 07:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.95%E -2.50%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-12 07:54 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.43%E -2.76%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-12 07:50 |
| Fliff | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.39%E -3.28%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-12 07:44 |
| ReBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.39%E -3.28%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-12 07:44 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.39%E -3.28%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-12 07:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.39%E -3.28%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-12 07:44 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.39%E -3.28%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-12 07:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.39%E -3.28%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-12 07:45 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.39%E -3.28%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-12 06:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.31%E -4.35%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.77%E -1.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 21:44 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.31%E -4.35%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-12 04:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.31%E -4.35%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-12 04:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.31%E -4.35%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-12 04:29 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.31%E -4.35%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-12 07:45 |
| Unibet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -8.79%E -4.63%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 07:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -8.79%E -4.63%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-12 07:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -9.27%E -4.90%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 07:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -9.27%E -4.90%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 07:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -9.27%E -4.90%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 07:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -9.27%E -4.90%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 07:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -9.27%E -4.90%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 07:50 |
| BetUS | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -9.75%E -5.19%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -3.81%E -2.06%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 07:34 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.23%E -5.47%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.77%E -1.48%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 14:58 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -11.19%E -6.05%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-11 21:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.02%EV -11.67%E -6.34%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.98%EV -11.61%E -6.83%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-12 07:43 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.