The School of Odds

Chiba Lotte Marines v Orix Buffaloes

2026-07-11 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)

Prediction 56.06%1.78fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -3.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.21%56.09%56.03%57.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.601.681.681.7463%59%60%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Orix Buffaloes (Visit)

Prediction 43.94%2.28fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.97%43.91%43.97%45.79%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.2150%47%47%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -2.45%E -1.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -2.90%E -1.31%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-10 13:49
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -2.45%E -1.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -9.49%E -4.61%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 15:30
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.01%E -1.74%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.22%E -1.93%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-10 14:24
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 13:50
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 14:39
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 14:39
William Hill1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.78%E -1.72%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 14:24
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.13%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 14:54
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.65%E -2.15%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 19:10
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 13:55
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.69%E -2.76%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 13:55
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.26%E -3.11%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.22%E -1.93%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 13:49
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.26%E -3.11%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 13:53
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.82%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 13:48
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 13:49
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 13:50
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 13:59
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 16:07
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 13:54
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 13:54
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 13:55
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 18:04
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-10 17:04
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -8.62%E -5.29%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%EV -9.49%E -4.61%K -8.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-10 13:48
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.18%E -5.67%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.53%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-10 17:04
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.74%E -6.05%K -15.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -12.12%E -6.06%K -12.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-10 13:49
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -10.30%E -6.44%K -17.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.12%E -6.06%K -12.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-10 13:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.