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Chiba Lotte Marines v Orix Buffaloes

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)

Prediction 55.81%1.79fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.68%55.65%55.77%56.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.701.701.7662.50%58.72%58.82%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Orix Buffaloes (Visit)

Prediction 44.19%2.26fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.73%44.35%44.23%46.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.112.102.2050.51%47.43%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -1.77%E -1.01%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -9.85%E -4.83%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 08:55
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -1.77%E -1.01%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -9.85%E -4.83%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 08:54
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -1.77%E -1.01%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -9.85%E -4.83%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -1.77%E -1.01%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -9.85%E -4.83%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 08:54
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -1.77%E -1.01%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -9.85%E -4.83%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 08:54
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -1.77%E -1.01%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -9.85%E -4.83%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 08:54
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-11 08:54
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.50%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.50%EV -4.11%E -1.89%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-11 08:49
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.89%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 08:49
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.56%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 13:50
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.56%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 08:49
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.56%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.78%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 08:49
William Hill1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.56%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.22%E -1.47%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 14:24
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.56%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 08:54
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.56%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 04:39
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.56%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 04:39
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.56%E -2.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 19:50
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.11%E -1.89%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 19:10
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 08:54
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 08:55
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.12%E -3.01%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 19:50
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.55%E -2.11%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 04:39
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 13:53
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -5.88%E -2.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 04:44
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 08:05
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.68%E -3.36%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 08:48
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 04:39
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 13:54
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 13:54
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 13:55
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 18:04
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.91%E -4.80%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 08:04
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.91%E -4.80%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-10 17:04
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.47%E -5.17%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-11 08:50
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.31%EV -10.70%E -6.69%K -17.84%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -12.50%E -6.31%K -12.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-11 08:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.