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Chiba Lotte Marines v Orix Buffaloes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)
Prediction 40.38%2.48fair odd
EV +0.950%
Edge +0.380%
Kelly +0.634%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%40.43%40.51%44.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.342.352.5048.78%42.67%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Orix Buffaloes (Visit)
Prediction 59.62%1.68fair odd
EV +0.758%
Edge +0.448%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.11%59.57%59.49%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.581.6966.67%63.40%63.29%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 40.38%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 59.62%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.950%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -15.20%E -7.24%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV +0.758%E +0.448%K +1.10%G +0.008% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 23:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -17.22%E -8.40%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -0.435%E -0.260%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 23:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.22%E -1.36%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-22 08:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -5.51%E -2.35%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -2.82%E -1.73%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.32%E -2.72%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.42%E -2.11%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.07%E -0.436%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.07%E -0.436%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -1.88%E -0.772%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-22 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 08:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 08:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.61%E -2.88%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 08:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 08:52 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 08:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -8.34%E -3.67%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 08:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.40%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 08:22 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.40%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.40%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.40%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.40%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 08:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.40%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 08:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.14%E -4.06%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.40%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 08:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.99%E -4.48%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.59%E -4.90%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 08:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -11.16%E -5.07%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82%EV -8.19%E -5.32%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.11%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.38%E -6.17%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.950%E +0.380%K +0.634%G +0.006% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.57%E -7.05%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 08:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.950%E +0.380%K +0.634%G +0.006% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.57%E -7.05%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 08:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.950%E +0.380%K +0.634%G +0.006% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.57%E -7.05%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 08:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.950%E +0.380%K +0.634%G +0.006% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.57%E -7.05%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 08:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.950%E +0.380%K +0.634%G +0.006% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.57%E -7.05%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 08:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.950%E +0.380%K +0.634%G +0.006% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.57%E -7.05%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 08:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.