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Chiba Lotte Marines v Orix Buffaloes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chiba Lotte Marines (Local)
Prediction 43.88%2.28fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.11%43.75%43.73%45.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.152.152.2251.02%46.57%46.51%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Orix Buffaloes (Visit)
Prediction 56.12%1.78fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -3.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.74%56.25%56.27%57.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.671.7362.50%59.74%59.88%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chiba Lotte Marines (Local): 43.88%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 56.12%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.22, with an expected value of -2.59%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -2.59%E -1.17%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-16 04:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-15 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-15 17:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -8.52%E -5.23%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 04:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -8.52%E -5.23%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 04:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -8.52%E -5.23%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 04:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -8.52%E -5.23%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 04:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -8.52%E -5.23%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 04:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -8.52%E -5.23%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 04:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.47%E -1.58%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -10.20%E -6.38%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 04:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.91%E -1.78%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-15 17:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -4.35%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -2.91%E -1.68%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 18:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.35%E -1.99%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.79%E -2.21%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 04:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 03:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 03:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 04:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 03:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.66%E -2.63%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-15 22:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.54%E -3.07%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 04:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 04:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 04:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 04:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 04:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 16:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 19:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 19:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 19:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 02:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 22:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.86%E -3.74%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 04:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -8.73%E -4.20%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -3.47%E -2.02%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 04:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.10%EV -14.00%E -7.14%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.90%EV -9.64%E -5.99%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-16 04:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.